Laurier-Dorion
Provincial riding · Quebec · Montreal
October 5, 2026 result
Andrés Fontecilla (Québec solidaire) wins with 50.7% of the vote, 22.7 points ahead of Randy Legault-Rankin (QLP).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andrés Fontecilla | QS | 14,576 | 50.7% |
| Randy Legault-Rankin | QLP | 8,032 | 27.9% |
| Kelly Lazo de la Vega | PQ | 3,494 | 12.1% |
| Marc-Antoine Cusson | PCQ | 1,280 | 4.5% |
| Emil Parfyonov | CAQ | 702 | 2.4% |
| Jenifer Gomes | Other | 216 | 0.8% |
| Stéphane Doucet | Other | 124 | 0.4% |
| Louis Poirier | Other | 100 | 0.3% |
| Jean-Louis Thémis | Other | 99 | 0.3% |
| Mathieu Marcil | Other | 97 | 0.3% |
| Olivier Lamanque Galarneau | Other | 52 | 0.2% |
Our forecast before the vote
We had Québec solidaire favoured at 93% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the call held.
On the eve of the vote, the Polymarket market had Andrés Fontecilla (QS) winning at 72%: it got it right. Polymarket
| Party | Forecast | Result | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| QS | 38.8% | 50.7% | +11.9 |
| QLP | 25.7% | 27.9% | +2.2 |
| PQ | 21.8% | 12.1% | −9.6 |
| PCQ | 7.9% | 4.5% | −3.4 |
| CAQ | 2.6% | 2.4% | −0.1 |
| Other | 3.3% | 2.4% | −0.9 |
Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.
Advance voting · September 27 and 28
About 34% of votes were cast in advance
- Registered electors who voted
- 20.8% Rank 91 of 127
- Quebec average
- 23.6%
- Estimated share of votes already cast
- ≈ 34% Quebec: about 36%
- Compared with 2022
- +26% 2022: 16.6% · Quebec: +12%
Compared with 2022, advance voting rose here more than across Quebec (increase ranked 6 of 108 comparable ridings). In past elections, a stronger-than-expected rise mostly signalled higher overall turnout, not a winner.
Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (61.6%). See all 127 ridings
Compared with the average
| QS | QLP | PQ | PCQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laurier-Dorion | 38.8% | 25.7% | 21.8% | 7.9% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 10.9%+27.9 | 24.8%+0.9 | 28.7%−7.0 | 20.2%−12.3 |
Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election (2022)
Québec solidaire won by 29.2 points, with 61.6% turnout.
Our current projection: Québec solidaire ahead by 12.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2022
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andrés Fontecilla Elected | QS | 13,323 | 48.8 |
| Deepak Awasti | QLP | 5,344 | 19.6 |
| Vicki Marcoux | CAQ | 3,203 | 11.7 |
| Maxime Larochelle | PQ | 2,800 | 10.3 |
| Guy Diotte | PCQ | 1,512 | 5.5 |
| Amir Khan | Other | 480 | 1.8 |
| Ismaila Marega | Other | 332 | 1.2 |
| Amélie Villeneuve | Other | 157 | 0.6 |
| Mathieu Marcil | Other | 77 | 0.3 |
| Anthony Van Duyse | Other | 75 | 0.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Gouin QS, safe seat
- Mont-Royal–Outremont QLP, safe seat
- Mercier QS, safe seat
- Viau QLP, safe seat
- Maurice-Richard PQ, toss-up
- Westmount–Saint-Louis QLP, safe seat
- Forecast updated