Mercier
Provincial riding · Quebec · Montreal
October 5, 2026 result
Ruba Ghazal (Québec solidaire) wins with 59.2% of the vote, 39.8 points ahead of Thierno Diallo (QLP).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ruba Ghazal | QS | 17,761 | 59.2% |
| Thierno Diallo | QLP | 5,831 | 19.4% |
| Phoudsady Vanny | PQ | 3,766 | 12.6% |
| François Plamondon | PCQ | 1,001 | 3.3% |
| Kelly-Anne Gagné | CAQ | 975 | 3.3% |
| Laurel Thompson | Other | 294 | 1.0% |
| Jenny Cartwright | Other | 157 | 0.5% |
| Michelle Paquette | Other | 120 | 0.4% |
| Jogues Sauriol | Other | 71 | 0.2% |
| Jocelyn Simon Daigle | Other | 25 | 0.1% |
Our forecast before the vote
We had Québec solidaire favoured at 95% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the call held.
| Party | Forecast | Result | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| QS | 44.2% | 59.2% | +15.0 |
| QLP | 20.4% | 19.4% | −1.0 |
| PQ | 28.1% | 12.6% | −15.5 |
| PCQ | 4.9% | 3.3% | −1.6 |
| CAQ | 0.1% | 3.3% | +3.1 |
| Other | 2.3% | 2.2% | −0.1 |
Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.
Advance voting · September 27 and 28
About 36% of votes were cast in advance
- Registered electors who voted
- 23.1% Rank 67 of 127
- Quebec average
- 23.6%
- Estimated share of votes already cast
- ≈ 36% Quebec: about 36%
- Compared with 2022
- +12% 2022: 20.7% · Quebec: +12%
Compared with 2022, advance voting rose here about as much as across Quebec.
Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (63.6%). See all 127 ridings
Compared with the average
| QS | PQ | QLP | PCQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercier | 44.2% | 28.1% | 20.4% | 4.9% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 10.9%+33.3 | 28.7%−0.7 | 24.8%−4.4 | 20.2%−15.3 |
Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election (2022)
Québec solidaire won by 39.4 points, with 63.6% turnout.
Our current projection: Québec solidaire ahead by 16.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2022
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ruba Ghazal Elected | QS | 14,755 | 53.9 |
| Sabrina Mercier-Ullhorn | PQ | 3,986 | 14.6 |
| Catherine Boundjia | QLP | 3,837 | 14.0 |
| Florence Lavictoire | CAQ | 2,814 | 10.3 |
| Emmanuel Da Costa | PCQ | 1,051 | 3.8 |
| Véronique Langlois | Other | 818 | 3.0 |
| Jenny Cartwright | Other | 102 | 0.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Gouin QS, safe seat
- Westmount–Saint-Louis QLP, safe seat
- Sainte-Marie-Saint-Jacques QS, competitive
- Laurier-Dorion QS, competitive
- Rosemont PQ, toss-up
- Hochelaga-Maisonneuve QS, competitive
- Forecast updated