Hochelaga-Maisonneuve
Provincial riding · Quebec · Montreal
October 5, 2026 result
Alexandre Leduc (Québec solidaire) wins with 51.9% of the vote, 27.1 points ahead of Maude Brossard Sabourin (PQ).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandre Leduc | QS | 14,151 | 51.9% |
| Maude Brossard Sabourin | PQ | 6,760 | 24.8% |
| Janny Gaspard | QLP | 3,334 | 12.2% |
| Elena Penta | PCQ | 1,255 | 4.6% |
| Béatrice Hodonou | CAQ | 1,197 | 4.4% |
| Fajr Al-sayed | Other | 248 | 0.9% |
| Raphaëlle Dompierre | Other | 140 | 0.5% |
| Christine Dandenault | Other | 58 | 0.2% |
| Charles Rouillard | Other | 57 | 0.2% |
| Igor Sadikov | Other | 57 | 0.2% |
Our forecast before the vote
We had Québec solidaire favoured at 86% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the call held.
On the eve of the vote, the Polymarket market had Alexandre Leduc (QS) winning at 69%: it got it right. Polymarket
| Party | Forecast | Result | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| QS | 42.9% | 51.9% | +9.1 |
| PQ | 32.9% | 24.8% | −8.1 |
| QLP | 16.0% | 12.2% | −3.8 |
| PCQ | 6.4% | 4.6% | −1.8 |
| CAQ | 0.7% | 4.4% | +3.7 |
| Other | 1.2% | 2.0% | +0.9 |
Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.
Advance voting · September 27 and 28
About 37% of votes were cast in advance
- Registered electors who voted
- 23.0% Rank 68 of 127
- Quebec average
- 23.6%
- Estimated share of votes already cast
- ≈ 37% Quebec: about 36%
- Compared with 2022
- +20% 2022: 19.2% · Quebec: +12%
Compared with 2022, advance voting rose here more than across Quebec (increase ranked 21 of 108 comparable ridings). In past elections, a stronger-than-expected rise mostly signalled higher overall turnout, not a winner.
Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (62.6%). See all 127 ridings
Compared with the average
| QS | PQ | QLP | PCQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hochelaga-Maisonneuve | 42.9% | 32.9% | 16.0% | 6.4% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 10.9%+32.0 | 28.7%+4.2 | 24.8%−8.8 | 20.2%−13.8 |
Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election (2022)
Québec solidaire won by 32.0 points, with 62.6% turnout.
Our current projection: Québec solidaire ahead by 11.3 points.
Candidates and votes in 2022
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandre Leduc Elected | QS | 12,784 | 50.8 |
| Rebecca McCann | CAQ | 4,728 | 18.8 |
| Stephan Fogaing | PQ | 4,015 | 16.0 |
| Line Flore Tchetmi | QLP | 1,957 | 7.8 |
| Louise Poudrier | PCQ | 1,161 | 4.6 |
| Wejden Chouchene | Other | 337 | 1.3 |
| James Strayer | Other | 84 | 0.3 |
| Christine Dandenault | Other | 78 | 0.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Rosemont PQ, toss-up
- Sainte-Marie-Saint-Jacques QS, competitive
- Mercier QS, safe seat
- Gouin QS, safe seat
- Marie-Victorin PQ, safe seat
- Anjou-Louis-Riel QLP, safe seat
- Forecast updated