Marie-Victorin
Provincial riding · Quebec
October 5, 2026 result
Nicolas Marceau (Parti Québécois) wins with 33.3% of the vote, 12.4 points ahead of Lauréline Manassero (QS).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Marceau | PQ | 9,205 | 33.3% |
| Lauréline Manassero | QS | 5,782 | 20.9% |
| Lyes Chekal | QLP | 5,600 | 20.3% |
| Shirley Dorismond | CAQ | 3,722 | 13.5% |
| Amélie Legeay | PCQ | 2,832 | 10.3% |
| Michel Fortin | Other | 378 | 1.4% |
| Gabriel Landry | Other | 87 | 0.3% |
Our forecast before the vote
We had the PQ favoured at 99% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the call held.
| Party | Forecast | Result | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| PQ | 43.5% | 33.3% | −10.2 |
| QS | 15.1% | 20.9% | +5.9 |
| QLP | 17.3% | 20.3% | +3.0 |
| CAQ | 9.9% | 13.5% | +3.5 |
| PCQ | 12.8% | 10.3% | −2.5 |
| Other | 1.4% | 1.7% | +0.3 |
Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.
Advance voting · September 27 and 28
About 37% of votes were cast in advance
- Registered electors who voted
- 22.6% Rank 72 of 127
- Quebec average
- 23.6%
- Estimated share of votes already cast
- ≈ 37% Quebec: about 36%
- Compared with 2022
- +8% 2022: 20.9% · Quebec: +12%
Compared with 2022, advance voting rose here about as much as across Quebec.
Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (61.6%). See all 127 ridings
Compared with the average
| PQ | QLP | QS | PCQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marie-Victorin | 43.6% | 17.3% | 15.1% | 12.8% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 28.7%+14.8 | 24.8%−7.5 | 10.9%+4.2 | 20.2%−7.4 |
Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election (2022)
The CAQ won by 8.3 points, with 61.6% turnout.
Our current projection: the PQ ahead by 22.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2022
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shirley Dorismond Elected | CAQ | 9,212 | 33.1 |
| Pierre Nantel | PQ | 6,913 | 24.8 |
| Shophika Vaithyanathasarma | QS | 6,307 | 22.7 |
| Lyes Chekal | QLP | 2,793 | 10.0 |
| Lara Stillo | PCQ | 1,952 | 7.0 |
| Vincent Aquin-Belleau | Other | 308 | 1.1 |
| Martine Ouellet | Other | 260 | 0.9 |
| Pierre Chénier | Other | 48 | 0.2 |
| Florent Portron | Other | 27 | 0.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Pierre-Laporte QLP, competitive
- Hochelaga-Maisonneuve QS, competitive
- Sainte-Marie-Saint-Jacques QS, competitive
- Taillon PQ, safe seat
- Verdun QLP, safe seat
- Rosemont PQ, toss-up
- Forecast updated