Marguerite-Bourgeoys
Provincial riding · Quebec · Montreal
October 5, 2026 result
Michel Leblanc (Quebec Liberal Party) wins with 52.6% of the vote, 37.4 points ahead of Luc Côté (PQ).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michel Leblanc | QLP | 14,605 | 52.6% |
| Luc Côté | PQ | 4,233 | 15.3% |
| Bryan Gingras | QS | 3,382 | 12.2% |
| Sean Ross | PCQ | 3,244 | 11.7% |
| Adam Ahmad | CAQ | 1,929 | 7.0% |
| Sam Kühn | Other | 255 | 0.9% |
| Ingénieur Hu | Other | 106 | 0.4% |
Our forecast before the vote
We had the Quebec Liberals favoured at 100% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the call held.
| Party | Forecast | Result | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| QLP | 54.1% | 52.6% | −1.5 |
| PQ | 10.7% | 15.3% | +4.6 |
| QS | 5.4% | 12.2% | +6.8 |
| PCQ | 17.0% | 11.7% | −5.3 |
| CAQ | 9.7% | 7.0% | −2.7 |
| Other | 3.1% | 1.3% | −1.8 |
Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.
Advance voting · September 27 and 28
About 27% of votes were cast in advance
- Registered electors who voted
- 14.7% Rank 119 of 127
- Quebec average
- 23.6%
- Estimated share of votes already cast
- ≈ 27% Quebec: about 36%
- Compared with 2022
- −1% 2022: 14.8% · Quebec: +12%
Compared with 2022, advance voting rose here less than across Quebec (increase ranked 106 of 108 comparable ridings). In past elections, a weaker-than-expected rise mostly signalled lower overall turnout, not a winner.
Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (54.7%). See all 127 ridings
Compared with the average
| QLP | PCQ | PQ | CAQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marguerite-Bourgeoys | 54.2% | 17.0% | 10.7% | 9.7% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 24.8%+29.4 | 20.2%−3.2 | 28.7%−18.0 | 13.9%−4.3 |
Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election (2022)
The Quebec Liberals won by 21.6 points, with 54.7% turnout.
Our current projection: the Quebec Liberals ahead by 36.6 points.
Candidates and votes in 2022
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Beauchemin Elected | QLP | 12,635 | 44.8 |
| Vicky Michaud | CAQ | 6,533 | 23.2 |
| Aleksa Drakul | PCQ | 3,103 | 11.0 |
| Angélique Soleil Lavoie | QS | 2,898 | 10.3 |
| Suzanne Tremblay | PQ | 1,966 | 7.0 |
| Keeton Clarke | Other | 549 | 2.0 |
| Carole Thériault | Other | 409 | 1.5 |
| Serge Bellemare | Other | 123 | 0.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Notre-Dame-de-Grâce QLP, safe seat
- Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne QLP, safe seat
- D'Arcy-McGee QLP, safe seat
- Sanguinet PQ, competitive
- Mont-Royal–Outremont QLP, safe seat
- Westmount–Saint-Louis QLP, safe seat
- Forecast updated