Sainte-Rose
Provincial riding · Quebec · Montreal
October 5, 2026 result
Cécile Tremblay (Quebec Liberal Party) wins with 37.3% of the vote, 13.4 points ahead of Judith Cardin (PQ).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cécile Tremblay | QLP | 14,013 | 37.3% |
| Judith Cardin | PQ | 8,994 | 23.9% |
| Alexandre Arrata | PCQ | 5,005 | 13.3% |
| Christopher Skeete | CAQ | 4,837 | 12.9% |
| Karine Cliche | QS | 4,345 | 11.6% |
| Mustapha Jaalouk | Other | 226 | 0.6% |
| Anne-Marie Tougas | Other | 146 | 0.4% |
Our forecast before the vote
We had the Quebec Liberals favoured at 97% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the call held.
| Party | Forecast | Result | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| QLP | 41.7% | 37.3% | −4.4 |
| PQ | 25.1% | 23.9% | −1.1 |
| PCQ | 14.8% | 13.3% | −1.5 |
| CAQ | 7.3% | 12.9% | +5.6 |
| QS | 9.7% | 11.6% | +1.8 |
| Other | 1.4% | 1.0% | −0.5 |
Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.
Advance voting · September 27 and 28
About 32% of votes were cast in advance
- Registered electors who voted
- 21.6% Rank 84 of 127
- Quebec average
- 23.6%
- Estimated share of votes already cast
- ≈ 32% Quebec: about 36%
- Compared with 2022
- +3% 2022: 21.0% · Quebec: +12%
Compared with 2022, advance voting rose here less than across Quebec (increase ranked 99 of 108 comparable ridings). In past elections, a weaker-than-expected rise mostly signalled lower overall turnout, not a winner.
Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (67.6%). See all 127 ridings
Compared with the average
| QLP | PQ | PCQ | QS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sainte-Rose | 41.7% | 25.1% | 14.8% | 9.7% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 24.8%+16.9 | 28.7%−3.6 | 20.2%−5.4 | 10.9%−1.2 |
Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election (2022)
The CAQ won by 14.5 points, with 67.6% turnout.
Our current projection: the Quebec Liberals ahead by 16.6 points.
Candidates and votes in 2022
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Skeete Elected | CAQ | 14,091 | 38.5 |
| Michel Trottier | QLP | 8,778 | 24.0 |
| Karine Cliche | QS | 5,243 | 14.3 |
| Lyne Jubinville | PQ | 4,536 | 12.4 |
| Stéphanie Beauchamp | PCQ | 3,429 | 9.4 |
| Pierrette Kamning Nguendjong | Other | 304 | 0.8 |
| Simon Filiatrault | Other | 128 | 0.3 |
| Kevin Fortin | Other | 91 | 0.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Groulx PQ, competitive
- Chomedey QLP, safe seat
- Fabre QLP, safe seat
- Vimont-Auteuil QLP, safe seat
- Blainville PQ, toss-up
- Laval-des-Rapides QLP, safe seat
- Forecast updated