Blainville
Provincial riding · Quebec
October 5, 2026 result
Nadine Le Gal (Parti Québécois) wins with 33.7% of the vote, 7.1 points ahead of Sébastien Daoust (QLP).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nadine Le Gal | PQ | 14,999 | 33.7% |
| Sébastien Daoust | QLP | 11,821 | 26.6% |
| Pascal Quevillon | PCQ | 7,112 | 16.0% |
| Mario Laframboise | CAQ | 6,417 | 14.4% |
| Louis Piette | QS | 3,448 | 7.7% |
| Marie-Claude Archambault | Other | 723 | 1.6% |
Our forecast before the vote
We had the PQ favoured at 72% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the call held.
| Party | Forecast | Result | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| PQ | 30.7% | 33.7% | +3.0 |
| QLP | 21.7% | 26.6% | +4.9 |
| PCQ | 18.1% | 16.0% | −2.1 |
| CAQ | 19.1% | 14.4% | −4.7 |
| QS | 9.9% | 7.7% | −2.2 |
| Other | 0.5% | 1.6% | +1.1 |
Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.
Advance voting · September 27 and 28
About 35% of votes were cast in advance
- Registered electors who voted
- 25.4% Rank 41 of 127
- Quebec average
- 23.6%
- Estimated share of votes already cast
- ≈ 35% Quebec: about 36%
- Compared with 2022
- 0% 2022: 25.5% · Quebec: +12%
Compared with 2022, advance voting rose here less than across Quebec (increase ranked 104 of 108 comparable ridings). In past elections, a weaker-than-expected rise mostly signalled lower overall turnout, not a winner.
Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (72.1%). See all 127 ridings
Compared with the average
| PQ | QLP | CAQ | PCQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blainville | 30.7% | 21.7% | 19.1% | 18.1% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 28.7%+2.0 | 24.8%−3.1 | 13.9%+5.2 | 20.2%−2.1 |
Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election (2022)
The CAQ won by 34.0 points, with 72.1% turnout.
Our current projection: the PQ ahead by 8.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2022
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Laframboise Elected | CAQ | 21,149 | 49.5 |
| Frédéric Labelle | PQ | 6,600 | 15.4 |
| Éric Michaud | QS | 5,987 | 14.0 |
| Alexandre Mercho | QLP | 4,718 | 11.0 |
| Grace Daou | PCQ | 4,175 | 9.8 |
| Marie-France Hanna | Other | 140 | 0.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Groulx PQ, competitive
- Les Plaines PQ, competitive
- Sainte-Rose QLP, safe seat
- Vimont-Auteuil QLP, safe seat
- Fabre QLP, safe seat
- Terrebonne PQ, safe seat
- Forecast updated