France · 2027 presidential poll

OpinionWay — September 12, 2024

Fieldwork
September 11, 2024 → September 12, 2024
Sample
1,009 respondents
Published
September 12, 2024
Pollster release
Pollster release →

First round, voting intention

  • Marine Le Pen 34%
  • Édouard Philippe 23%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann 12%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon 10%
  • Gabriel Attal 8%
  • Laurent Wauquiez 5%
  • Éric Zemmour 4%
  • Fabien Roussel 3%
  • Sandrine Rousseau 1%

This poll tested 7 candidate line-ups

French pollsters test several hypothetical fields in the same survey. Each one is shown below — the pollster’s own release rarely puts them side by side.

Line-up 1 · with Le Pen, Philippe, Glucksmann, Attal, Wauquiez, Roussel, Rousseau

  • Marine Le Pen34%
  • Édouard Philippe23%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann12%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon10%
  • Gabriel Attal8%
  • Laurent Wauquiez5%
  • Éric Zemmour4%
  • Fabien Roussel3%
  • Sandrine Rousseau1%

Line-up 2 · with Le Pen, Philippe, Glucksmann, Roussel, Barnier, Rousseau

  • Marine Le Pen36%
  • Édouard Philippe27%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann14%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon10%
  • Fabien Roussel4%
  • Michel Barnier4%
  • Éric Zemmour4%
  • Sandrine Rousseau1%

Line-up 3 · with Le Pen, Philippe, Attal, Wauquiez, Poutou, Arthaud

  • Marine Le Pen38%
  • Édouard Philippe25%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon14%
  • Gabriel Attal10%
  • Laurent Wauquiez6%
  • Éric Zemmour4%
  • Philippe Poutou2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 4 · with Bardella, Philippe, Glucksmann, Ruffin, Wauquiez, Rousseau

  • Jordan Bardella35%
  • Édouard Philippe28%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann14%
  • François Ruffin10%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon4%
  • Laurent Wauquiez4%
  • Éric Zemmour4%
  • Sandrine Rousseau1%

Line-up 5 · with Le Pen, Philippe, Glucksmann, Wauquiez, Roussel, Rousseau

  • Marine Le Pen35%
  • Édouard Philippe26%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann14%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon10%
  • Laurent Wauquiez5%
  • Éric Zemmour5%
  • Fabien Roussel4%
  • Sandrine Rousseau1%

Line-up 6 · with Le Pen, Philippe, Bertrand, Poutou, Arthaud

  • Marine Le Pen40%
  • Édouard Philippe31%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon15%
  • Xavier Bertrand7%
  • Éric Zemmour4%
  • Philippe Poutou2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 7 · with Bardella, Attal, Roussel, Lecornu

  • Jordan Bardella26%
  • Gabriel Attal14%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon10%
  • Éric Zemmour5%
  • Fabien Roussel4%
  • Sébastien Lecornu1%

A single poll is one measurement with its own margin of error. Our model weights every published poll, corrects for house effects and projects the range of plausible outcomes.

Our weighted average and projection → All 2027 presidential polls →

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