France · 2027 presidential poll
IFOP — October 14, 2026
First round, voting intention
Our reading of this poll
Compared with our average for the same lineup (“Le Pen · Philippe · Glucksmann”):
- Glucksmann 13.5% vs 11.7% (+1.8 pt)
- Philippe 18% vs 16.7% (+1.3 pt)
- Zemmour 3% vs 4.1% (−1.1 pt)
Since the pollster’s previous wave (September 29, 2026), same lineup:
- Philippe 21% → 18% (−3 pts)
- Glucksmann 11% → 13.5% (+2.5 pts)
- Le Pen 33% → 35% (+2 pts)
This poll tested 4 candidate line-ups
French pollsters test several hypothetical fields in the same survey. Each one is shown below — the pollster’s own release rarely puts them side by side.
Line-up 1 · with Philippe, Lisnard, Attal, Ruffin, Villepin
- Marine Le Pen32%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon16%
- Édouard Philippe13%
- Raphaël Glucksmann11.5%
- David Lisnard6%
- Gabriel Attal5%
- Bruno Retailleau5%
- Éric Zemmour3%
- Fabien Roussel2%
- François Ruffin2%
- Marine Tondelier2%
- Dominique de Villepin1.5%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan1%
Line-up 2 · with Philippe, Arthaud
- Marine Le Pen35%
- Édouard Philippe18%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon16%
- Raphaël Glucksmann13.5%
- Bruno Retailleau6.5%
- Fabien Roussel3%
- Éric Zemmour3%
- Marine Tondelier2.5%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
- Nathalie Arthaud0.5%
Line-up 3 · with Philippe, Attal
- Marine Le Pen34%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon16%
- Raphaël Glucksmann14%
- Édouard Philippe14%
- Bruno Retailleau6.5%
- Gabriel Attal6%
- Éric Zemmour3%
- Fabien Roussel2.5%
- Marine Tondelier2%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
Line-up 4 · with Attal, Arthaud
- Marine Le Pen36%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon17%
- Raphaël Glucksmann16%
- Gabriel Attal13%
- Bruno Retailleau8%
- Éric Zemmour3%
- Fabien Roussel2.5%
- Marine Tondelier2%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
- Nathalie Arthaud0.5%
A single poll is one measurement with its own margin of error. Our model weights every published poll, corrects for house effects and projects the range of plausible outcomes.
Our weighted average and projection All 2027 presidential polls