France · 2027 presidential poll

IFOP — September 29, 2026

Fieldwork: September 25, 2026 → September 29, 2026
Sample: 1 respondents
Published: September 29, 2026
Pollster release: Pollster release →

First round, voting intention

Marine Le Pen 31%
Édouard Philippe 15%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 14%
Raphaël Glucksmann 9%
Gabriel Attal 7%
Bruno Retailleau 5%
Éric Zemmour 4%
David Lisnard 3.5%
François Ruffin 3%
Marine Tondelier 3%
Fabien Roussel 2%
Dominique de Villepin 2%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan 1%
Nathalie Arthaud 0.5%

Our reading of this poll

Compared with our average for the same lineup (“Le Pen · Philippe · Attal · Glucksmann”):

Philippe 16% vs 13.2% (+2.8 pts)
Glucksmann 11% vs 9.3% (+1.7 pt)
Mélenchon 15% vs 16.4% (−1.4 pt)

Since the pollster’s previous wave (August 26, 2026), same lineup:

Philippe 14.5% → 16% (+1.5 pt)
Le Pen 33% → 32% (−1 pt)
Mélenchon 16% → 15% (−1 pt)

See the previous wave →

Where each candidacy takes its votes from: the candidacy effect →

This poll tested 10 candidate line-ups

French pollsters test several hypothetical fields in the same survey. Each one is shown below — the pollster’s own release rarely puts them side by side.

Line-up 1 · with Philippe, Glucksmann, Attal, Lisnard, Ruffin, Tondelier, Villepin

Marine Le Pen31%
Édouard Philippe15%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon14%
Raphaël Glucksmann9%
Gabriel Attal7%
Bruno Retailleau5%
Éric Zemmour4%
David Lisnard3.5%
François Ruffin3%
Marine Tondelier3%
Fabien Roussel2%
Dominique de Villepin2%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan1%
Nathalie Arthaud0.5%

Line-up 2 · with Philippe, Glucksmann, Attal, Tondelier

Marine Le Pen32%
Édouard Philippe16%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon15%
Raphaël Glucksmann11%
Gabriel Attal8%
Bruno Retailleau7%
Éric Zemmour4%
Marine Tondelier3%
Fabien Roussel2.5%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan1%
Nathalie Arthaud0.5%

Line-up 3 · with Philippe, Tondelier, Royal

Marine Le Pen35%
Édouard Philippe24%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon15%
Bruno Retailleau8%
Marine Tondelier6%
Éric Zemmour4%
Fabien Roussel3%
Ségolène Royal3%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan1.5%
Nathalie Arthaud0.5%

Line-up 4 · with Philippe, Tondelier, Maurel

Marine Le Pen35%
Édouard Philippe23%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon17%
Bruno Retailleau9%
Marine Tondelier6%
Fabien Roussel3.5%
Éric Zemmour3%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan1.5%
Nathalie Arthaud1%
Emmanuel Maurel1%

Line-up 5 · with Philippe, Glucksmann, Tondelier

Marine Le Pen33%
Édouard Philippe21%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon16%
Raphaël Glucksmann11%
Bruno Retailleau8%
Éric Zemmour3.5%
Marine Tondelier3%
Fabien Roussel2.5%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan1.5%
Nathalie Arthaud0.5%

Line-up 6 · with Philippe, Hollande, Tondelier

Marine Le Pen34%
Édouard Philippe22%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon16%
François Hollande8%
Bruno Retailleau7%
Marine Tondelier5%
Éric Zemmour4%
Fabien Roussel2.5%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan1%
Nathalie Arthaud0.5%

Line-up 7 · with Attal, Glucksmann, Tondelier

Marine Le Pen34%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon15%
Gabriel Attal15%
Raphaël Glucksmann13%
Bruno Retailleau10%
Marine Tondelier4%
Éric Zemmour3.5%
Fabien Roussel2.5%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 8 · with Philippe, Tondelier, Faure

Marine Le Pen35%
Édouard Philippe23%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon16%
Bruno Retailleau8%
Marine Tondelier5%
Éric Zemmour4%
Fabien Roussel3.5%
Olivier Faure3%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan1.5%
Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 9 · with Philippe, Guedj

Marine Le Pen35%
Édouard Philippe23%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon17%
Bruno Retailleau8%
Fabien Roussel3.5%
Jérôme Guedj3%
Éric Zemmour3%
Nathalie Arthaud1%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan1%

Line-up 10 · with Attal, Faure

Marine Le Pen36%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon17%
Gabriel Attal17%
Bruno Retailleau11%
Éric Zemmour4.5%
Olivier Faure4%
Fabien Roussel3%
Nathalie Arthaud1%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan1%

A single poll is one measurement with its own margin of error. Our model weights every published poll, corrects for house effects and projects the range of plausible outcomes.

Our weighted average and projection → All 2027 presidential polls →

Earlier poll →