France · 2027 presidential poll

Harris Interactive — October 12, 2026

Fieldwork: October 7, 2026 → October 12, 2026
Sample: 2,004 respondents
Published: October 12, 2026
Pollster release: Pollster release

First round, voting intention

Marine Le Pen 35%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 18%
Édouard Philippe 13%
Raphaël Glucksmann 10%
Bruno Retailleau 7%
Gabriel Attal 5%
Éric Zemmour 5%
Fabien Roussel 2%
Marine Tondelier 2%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan 2%
Nathalie Arthaud 1%

Our reading of this poll

Compared with our average for the same lineup (“Le Pen · Philippe · Attal · Glucksmann”):

Mélenchon 18% vs 16.7% (+1.3 pt)
Glucksmann 10% vs 11.1% (−1.1 pt)

Nothing moved by a point or more since the pollster’s previous wave (October 8, 2026), same lineup.

See the previous wave

House effect: on the same lineups, Harris Interactive usually puts Mélenchon 1.1 pt higher and Glucksmann 1.1 pt lower than other pollsters (37 comparisons within 60 days). Not an error: each pollster has its method, and our average accounts for it.

Where each candidacy takes its votes from: the candidacy effect

This poll tested 5 candidate line-ups

French pollsters test several hypothetical fields in the same survey. Each one is shown below — the pollster’s own release rarely puts them side by side.

Line-up 1 · with Philippe, Glucksmann, Attal

Marine Le Pen35%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon18%
Édouard Philippe13%
Raphaël Glucksmann10%
Bruno Retailleau7%
Gabriel Attal5%
Éric Zemmour5%
Fabien Roussel2%
Marine Tondelier2%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 2 · with Philippe, Glucksmann

Marine Le Pen36%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon18%
Édouard Philippe17%
Raphaël Glucksmann10%
Bruno Retailleau7%
Éric Zemmour4%
Marine Tondelier3%
Fabien Roussel2%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 3 · with Philippe, Hollande

Marine Le Pen36%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon18%
Édouard Philippe17%
Bruno Retailleau8%
François Hollande7%
Marine Tondelier4%
Éric Zemmour4%
Fabien Roussel3%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 4 · with Attal, Glucksmann

Marine Le Pen36%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon18%
Gabriel Attal12%
Raphaël Glucksmann11%
Bruno Retailleau10%
Éric Zemmour5%
Marine Tondelier3%
Fabien Roussel2%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 5 · with Attal, Hollande

Marine Le Pen37%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon19%
Gabriel Attal12%
Bruno Retailleau10%
François Hollande7%
Marine Tondelier5%
Éric Zemmour5%
Fabien Roussel2%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
Nathalie Arthaud1%

A single poll is one measurement with its own margin of error. Our model weights every published poll, corrects for house effects and projects the range of plausible outcomes.

Our weighted average and projection All 2027 presidential polls

← More recent poll Earlier poll