France · 2027 presidential poll
Harris Interactive — August 19, 2026
First round, voting intention
Our reading of this poll
Since the pollster’s previous wave (July 8, 2026), same lineup:
- Retailleau 7% → 6% (−1 pt)
- Tondelier 2% → 3% (+1 pt)
- Zemmour 4% → 3% (−1 pt)
Run-off match-ups tested
- null 32% — 68% null
- null 45% — 55% null
- null 43% — 57% null
This poll tested 5 candidate line-ups
French pollsters test several hypothetical fields in the same survey. Each one is shown below — the pollster’s own release rarely puts them side by side.
Line-up 1 · with Philippe, Glucksmann, Attal
- Marine Le Pen35%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon16%
- Édouard Philippe14%
- Raphaël Glucksmann10%
- Gabriel Attal8%
- Bruno Retailleau6%
- Marine Tondelier3%
- Éric Zemmour3%
- Fabien Roussel2%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
- Nathalie Arthaud1%
Line-up 2 · with Philippe, Glucksmann
- Marine Le Pen35%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon17%
- Édouard Philippe17%
- Raphaël Glucksmann10%
- Bruno Retailleau7%
- Éric Zemmour4%
- Fabien Roussel3%
- Marine Tondelier3%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan3%
- Nathalie Arthaud1%
Line-up 3 · with Philippe, Hollande
- Marine Le Pen35%
- Édouard Philippe19%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon17%
- François Hollande8%
- Bruno Retailleau7%
- Marine Tondelier4%
- Éric Zemmour4%
- Fabien Roussel3%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
- Nathalie Arthaud1%
Line-up 4 · with Attal, Glucksmann
- Marine Le Pen37%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon17%
- Gabriel Attal15%
- Raphaël Glucksmann11%
- Bruno Retailleau9%
- Marine Tondelier3%
- Éric Zemmour3%
- Fabien Roussel2%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
- Nathalie Arthaud1%
Line-up 5 · with Attal, Hollande
- Marine Le Pen38%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon17%
- Gabriel Attal14%
- Bruno Retailleau9%
- François Hollande8%
- Marine Tondelier4%
- Éric Zemmour4%
- Fabien Roussel3%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
- Nathalie Arthaud1%
A single poll is one measurement with its own margin of error. Our model weights every published poll, corrects for house effects and projects the range of plausible outcomes.
Our weighted average and projection → All 2027 presidential polls →