France · 2027 presidential poll

Harris Interactive — October 7, 2025

Fieldwork
October 7, 2025 → October 7, 2025
Sample
1,124 respondents
Published
October 7, 2025
Pollster release
Pollster release →

First round, voting intention

  • Jordan Bardella 35%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon 14%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann 14%
  • Gabriel Attal 12%
  • Bruno Retailleau 11%
  • Éric Zemmour 6%
  • Fabien Roussel 3%
  • Marine Tondelier 3%
  • Nathalie Arthaud 1%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan 1%

This poll tested 4 candidate line-ups

French pollsters test several hypothetical fields in the same survey. Each one is shown below — the pollster’s own release rarely puts them side by side.

Line-up 1 · with Bardella, Attal

  • Jordan Bardella35%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon14%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann14%
  • Gabriel Attal12%
  • Bruno Retailleau11%
  • Éric Zemmour6%
  • Fabien Roussel3%
  • Marine Tondelier3%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan1%

Line-up 2 · with Le Pen, Philippe

  • Marine Le Pen34%
  • Édouard Philippe16%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon14%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann12%
  • Bruno Retailleau10%
  • Éric Zemmour6%
  • Fabien Roussel3%
  • Marine Tondelier3%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan1%

Line-up 3 · with Bardella, Philippe

  • Jordan Bardella35%
  • Édouard Philippe15%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon14%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann12%
  • Bruno Retailleau10%
  • Éric Zemmour6%
  • Fabien Roussel3%
  • Marine Tondelier3%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan1%

Line-up 4 · with Le Pen, Attal

  • Marine Le Pen34%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon14%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann14%
  • Gabriel Attal12%
  • Bruno Retailleau11%
  • Éric Zemmour6%
  • Fabien Roussel3%
  • Marine Tondelier3%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%

A single poll is one measurement with its own margin of error. Our model weights every published poll, corrects for house effects and projects the range of plausible outcomes.

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