France · 2027 presidential poll

Harris Interactive — May 19, 2025

Fieldwork: May 19, 2025 → May 19, 2025
Sample: 1,071 respondents
Published: May 19, 2025
Pollster release: Pollster release →

First round, voting intention

Marine Le Pen 31%
Bruno Retailleau 16%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 15%
Gabriel Attal 15%
Raphaël Glucksmann 11%
Éric Zemmour 5%
Fabien Roussel 3%
Marine Tondelier 3%
Nathalie Arthaud 1%

This poll tested 4 candidate line-ups

French pollsters test several hypothetical fields in the same survey. Each one is shown below — the pollster’s own release rarely puts them side by side.

Line-up 1 · with Le Pen, Attal

Marine Le Pen31%
Bruno Retailleau16%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon15%
Gabriel Attal15%
Raphaël Glucksmann11%
Éric Zemmour5%
Fabien Roussel3%
Marine Tondelier3%
Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 2 · with Le Pen, Philippe

Marine Le Pen31%
Édouard Philippe21%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon14%
Bruno Retailleau12%
Raphaël Glucksmann10%
Éric Zemmour5%
Fabien Roussel3%
Marine Tondelier3%
Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 3 · with Bardella, Attal

Jordan Bardella31%
Bruno Retailleau17%
Gabriel Attal15%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon14%
Raphaël Glucksmann11%
Éric Zemmour5%
Fabien Roussel3%
Marine Tondelier3%
Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 4 · with Bardella, Philippe

Jordan Bardella30%
Édouard Philippe21%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon14%
Bruno Retailleau13%
Raphaël Glucksmann10%
Éric Zemmour5%
Fabien Roussel3%
Marine Tondelier3%
Nathalie Arthaud1%

A single poll is one measurement with its own margin of error. Our model weights every published poll, corrects for house effects and projects the range of plausible outcomes.

Our weighted average and projection → All 2027 presidential polls →

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