France · 2027 presidential poll

IFOP — May 20, 2025

Fieldwork
May 19, 2025 → May 20, 2025
Sample
1,114 respondents
Published
May 20, 2025
Pollster release
Pollster release →

First round, voting intention

  • Jordan Bardella 31%
  • Édouard Philippe 21%
  • Bruno Retailleau 16%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13%
  • Olivier Faure 4.5%
  • Marine Tondelier 4.5%
  • Fabien Roussel 3.5%
  • Éric Zemmour 3.5%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan 2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud 1%

This poll tested 2 candidate line-ups

French pollsters test several hypothetical fields in the same survey. Each one is shown below — the pollster’s own release rarely puts them side by side.

Line-up 1 · with Bardella

  • Jordan Bardella31%
  • Édouard Philippe21%
  • Bruno Retailleau16%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon13%
  • Olivier Faure4.5%
  • Marine Tondelier4.5%
  • Fabien Roussel3.5%
  • Éric Zemmour3.5%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 2 · with Le Pen

  • Marine Le Pen31%
  • Édouard Philippe21%
  • Bruno Retailleau16%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon13.5%
  • Marine Tondelier5%
  • Olivier Faure4.5%
  • Fabien Roussel3%
  • Éric Zemmour3%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%

A single poll is one measurement with its own margin of error. Our model weights every published poll, corrects for house effects and projects the range of plausible outcomes.

Our weighted average and projection → All 2027 presidential polls →

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