France · 2027 presidential poll

Odoxa — April 24, 2025

Fieldwork
April 23, 2025 → April 24, 2025
Sample
1,005 respondents
Published
April 24, 2025
Pollster release
Pollster release →

First round, voting intention

  • Marine Le Pen 32%
  • Édouard Philippe 20.5%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann 11.5%
  • Bruno Retailleau 10%
  • Fabien Roussel 3%
  • Marine Tondelier 3%
  • Éric Zemmour 3%
  • Philippe Poutou 2%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan 2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud 1%

Run-off match-ups tested

  • null 54% — 46% null
  • null 54% — 46% null

This poll tested 2 candidate line-ups

French pollsters test several hypothetical fields in the same survey. Each one is shown below — the pollster’s own release rarely puts them side by side.

Line-up 1 · with Le Pen

  • Marine Le Pen32%
  • Édouard Philippe20.5%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon12%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann11.5%
  • Bruno Retailleau10%
  • Fabien Roussel3%
  • Marine Tondelier3%
  • Éric Zemmour3%
  • Philippe Poutou2%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 2 · with Bardella

  • Jordan Bardella31.5%
  • Édouard Philippe20%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon12%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann12%
  • Bruno Retailleau9.5%
  • Marine Tondelier4%
  • Fabien Roussel3%
  • Éric Zemmour3%
  • Philippe Poutou2%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%

A single poll is one measurement with its own margin of error. Our model weights every published poll, corrects for house effects and projects the range of plausible outcomes.

Our weighted average and projection → All 2027 presidential polls →

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