France · 2027 presidential poll

Harris Interactive — September 4, 2023

Fieldwork: September 1, 2023 → September 4, 2023
Sample: 2,525 respondents
Published: September 4, 2023
Pollster release: Pollster release →

First round, voting intention

Marine Le Pen 32%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 16%
Bruno Le Maire 16%
Bernard Cazeneuve 7%
Laurent Wauquiez 7%
Fabien Roussel 6%
Éric Zemmour 6%
Yannick Jadot 5%
Philippe Poutou 2%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan 2%
Nathalie Arthaud 1%

Our reading of this poll

Since the pollster’s previous wave (April 7, 2023), same lineup:

Mélenchon 18% → 16% (−2 pts)
Wauquiez 5% → 7% (+2 pts)
Roussel 5% → 6% (+1 pt)

See the previous wave →

Where each candidacy takes its votes from: the candidacy effect →

This poll tested 9 candidate line-ups

French pollsters test several hypothetical fields in the same survey. Each one is shown below — the pollster’s own release rarely puts them side by side.

Line-up 1 · with Le Pen, Le Maire, Cazeneuve, Wauquiez, Jadot, Dupont-Aignan

Marine Le Pen32%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon16%
Bruno Le Maire16%
Bernard Cazeneuve7%
Laurent Wauquiez7%
Fabien Roussel6%
Éric Zemmour6%
Yannick Jadot5%
Philippe Poutou2%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 2 · with Le Pen, Cazeneuve, Wauquiez, Jadot, Braun-Pivet, Dupont-Aignan

Marine Le Pen33%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon17%
Bernard Cazeneuve10%
Laurent Wauquiez10%
Yannick Jadot7%
Fabien Roussel6%
Éric Zemmour6%
Yaël Braun-Pivet5%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan3%
Philippe Poutou2%
Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 3 · with Le Pen, Cazeneuve, Wauquiez, Bayrou, Jadot, Dupont-Aignan

Marine Le Pen33%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon16%
Bernard Cazeneuve10%
Laurent Wauquiez9%
François Bayrou8%
Fabien Roussel6%
Yannick Jadot6%
Éric Zemmour6%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan3%
Philippe Poutou2%
Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 4 · with Le Pen, Borne, Cazeneuve, Wauquiez, Jadot, Dupont-Aignan

Marine Le Pen33%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon16%
Élisabeth Borne11%
Bernard Cazeneuve9%
Laurent Wauquiez9%
Fabien Roussel6%
Éric Zemmour6%
Yannick Jadot5%
Philippe Poutou2%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 5 · with Le Pen, Philippe, Cazeneuve, Jadot, Wauquiez, Dupont-Aignan

Marine Le Pen30%
Édouard Philippe22%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon16%
Fabien Roussel6%
Éric Zemmour6%
Bernard Cazeneuve5%
Yannick Jadot5%
Laurent Wauquiez5%
Philippe Poutou2%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 6 · with Le Pen, Attal, Cazeneuve, Wauquiez, Jadot, Dupont-Aignan

Marine Le Pen32%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon16%
Gabriel Attal12%
Bernard Cazeneuve8%
Laurent Wauquiez8%
Yannick Jadot7%
Éric Zemmour7%
Fabien Roussel5%
Philippe Poutou2%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 7 · with Le Pen, Darmanin, Cazeneuve, Wauquiez, Jadot, Dupont-Aignan

Marine Le Pen32%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon16%
Gérald Darmanin14%
Bernard Cazeneuve8%
Laurent Wauquiez7%
Fabien Roussel6%
Yannick Jadot6%
Éric Zemmour6%
Philippe Poutou2%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 8 · with Le Pen, Cazeneuve, Castex, Wauquiez, Jadot, Dupont-Aignan

Marine Le Pen33%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon17%
Bernard Cazeneuve9%
Jean Castex9%
Laurent Wauquiez9%
Fabien Roussel6%
Yannick Jadot6%
Éric Zemmour6%
Philippe Poutou2%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 9 · with Hanouna, Faure, Darmanin, Sébastien

Jean-Luc Mélenchon16%
Cyril Hanouna16%
Olivier Faure7%
Éric Zemmour7%
Fabien Roussel6%
Gérald Darmanin5%
Philippe Poutou2%
Patrick Sébastien2%
Nathalie Arthaud1%

A single poll is one measurement with its own margin of error. Our model weights every published poll, corrects for house effects and projects the range of plausible outcomes.

Our weighted average and projection → All 2027 presidential polls →

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