France · 2027 presidential poll

Harris Interactive — April 7, 2023

Fieldwork
April 6, 2023 → April 7, 2023
Sample
1,320 respondents
Published
April 7, 2023
Pollster release
Pollster release →

First round, voting intention

  • Marine Le Pen 32%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon 18%
  • Bruno Le Maire 16%
  • Bernard Cazeneuve 7%
  • Éric Zemmour 7%
  • Fabien Roussel 5%
  • Yannick Jadot 5%
  • Laurent Wauquiez 5%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan 2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud 1%
  • Philippe Poutou 1%

This poll tested 5 candidate line-ups

French pollsters test several hypothetical fields in the same survey. Each one is shown below — the pollster’s own release rarely puts them side by side.

Line-up 1 · with Le Pen, Le Maire, Cazeneuve, Jadot, Wauquiez, Dupont-Aignan

  • Marine Le Pen32%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon18%
  • Bruno Le Maire16%
  • Bernard Cazeneuve7%
  • Éric Zemmour7%
  • Fabien Roussel5%
  • Yannick Jadot5%
  • Laurent Wauquiez5%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%
  • Philippe Poutou1%

Line-up 2 · with Le Pen, Philippe, Cazeneuve, Wauquiez, Jadot, Dupont-Aignan

  • Marine Le Pen30%
  • Édouard Philippe24%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon16%
  • Éric Zemmour7%
  • Bernard Cazeneuve5%
  • Laurent Wauquiez5%
  • Fabien Roussel4%
  • Yannick Jadot4%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%
  • Philippe Poutou1%

Line-up 3 · with Le Pen, Darmanin, Cazeneuve, Wauquiez, Jadot, Dupont-Aignan

  • Marine Le Pen33%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon19%
  • Gérald Darmanin10%
  • Bernard Cazeneuve8%
  • Éric Zemmour8%
  • Laurent Wauquiez7%
  • Fabien Roussel5%
  • Yannick Jadot5%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%
  • Philippe Poutou1%

Line-up 4 · with Le Pen, Philippe, Wauquiez, Jadot, Delga, Dupont-Aignan

  • Marine Le Pen31%
  • Édouard Philippe24%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon17%
  • Éric Zemmour7%
  • Laurent Wauquiez5%
  • Fabien Roussel4%
  • Yannick Jadot4%
  • Carole Delga3%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%
  • Philippe Poutou1%

Line-up 5 · with Bardella, Faure, Darmanin, Sébastien

  • Jordan Bardella24%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon16%
  • Olivier Faure5%
  • Éric Zemmour5%
  • Fabien Roussel4%
  • Gérald Darmanin4%
  • Patrick Sébastien2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%
  • Philippe Poutou1%

A single poll is one measurement with its own margin of error. Our model weights every published poll, corrects for house effects and projects the range of plausible outcomes.

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