France · 2027 presidential poll

IFOP — March 31, 2023

Fieldwork
March 30, 2023 → March 31, 2023
Sample
1,105 respondents
Published
March 31, 2023
Pollster release
Pollster release →

First round, voting intention

  • Marine Le Pen 29%
  • Édouard Philippe 26%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon 17%
  • Éric Zemmour 6%
  • Fabien Roussel 5%
  • Laurent Wauquiez 5%
  • Olivier Faure 3%
  • Philippe Poutou 2.5%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan 2.5%
  • Jean Lassalle 2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud 1%
  • Marine Tondelier 1%

This poll tested 6 candidate line-ups

French pollsters test several hypothetical fields in the same survey. Each one is shown below — the pollster’s own release rarely puts them side by side.

Line-up 1 · with Le Pen, Philippe, Roussel, Wauquiez, Faure, Dupont-Aignan, Lassalle, Tondelier

  • Marine Le Pen29%
  • Édouard Philippe26%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon17%
  • Éric Zemmour6%
  • Fabien Roussel5%
  • Laurent Wauquiez5%
  • Olivier Faure3%
  • Philippe Poutou2.5%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2.5%
  • Jean Lassalle2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%
  • Marine Tondelier1%

Line-up 2 · with Le Pen, Wauquiez, Bayrou, Roussel, Lassalle, Dupont-Aignan, Faure, Tondelier

  • Marine Le Pen36%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon20%
  • Laurent Wauquiez10%
  • François Bayrou9%
  • Éric Zemmour7%
  • Fabien Roussel6.5%
  • Jean Lassalle3%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan3%
  • Olivier Faure2%
  • Philippe Poutou1.5%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%
  • Marine Tondelier1%

Line-up 3 · with Le Pen, Le Maire, Roussel, Wauquiez, Dupont-Aignan, Lassalle, Faure, Tondelier

  • Marine Le Pen32%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon20%
  • Bruno Le Maire18%
  • Fabien Roussel6%
  • Laurent Wauquiez6%
  • Éric Zemmour6%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan3%
  • Philippe Poutou2.5%
  • Jean Lassalle2.5%
  • Olivier Faure2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%
  • Marine Tondelier1%

Line-up 4 · with Le Pen, Darmanin, Wauquiez, Roussel, Dupont-Aignan, Faure, Tondelier, Lassalle

  • Marine Le Pen35%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon20%
  • Gérald Darmanin11%
  • Laurent Wauquiez8%
  • Éric Zemmour7%
  • Fabien Roussel5%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan4%
  • Olivier Faure3%
  • Philippe Poutou2.5%
  • Marine Tondelier2%
  • Jean Lassalle2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud0.5%

Line-up 5 · with Bardella, Roussel, Glucksmann, Sébastien, de Villiers, Bayrou

  • Jordan Bardella26%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon17%
  • Fabien Roussel5%
  • Éric Zemmour5%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann3%
  • Philippe Poutou2.5%
  • Patrick Sébastien2.5%
  • Philippe de Villiers2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%
  • François Bayrou1%

Line-up 6 · with Le Pen, Philippe, Wauquiez, Dupont-Aignan, Lassalle

  • Marine Le Pen31%
  • Édouard Philippe28%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon22%
  • Éric Zemmour6%
  • Laurent Wauquiez4%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan3%
  • Philippe Poutou2.5%
  • Jean Lassalle2.5%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%

A single poll is one measurement with its own margin of error. Our model weights every published poll, corrects for house effects and projects the range of plausible outcomes.

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