France · 2027 presidential poll
IFOP — March 31, 2023
First round, voting intention
This poll tested 6 candidate line-ups
French pollsters test several hypothetical fields in the same survey. Each one is shown below — the pollster’s own release rarely puts them side by side.
Line-up 1 · with Le Pen, Philippe, Roussel, Wauquiez, Faure, Dupont-Aignan, Lassalle, Tondelier
- Marine Le Pen29%
- Édouard Philippe26%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon17%
- Éric Zemmour6%
- Fabien Roussel5%
- Laurent Wauquiez5%
- Olivier Faure3%
- Philippe Poutou2.5%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2.5%
- Jean Lassalle2%
- Nathalie Arthaud1%
- Marine Tondelier1%
Line-up 2 · with Le Pen, Wauquiez, Bayrou, Roussel, Lassalle, Dupont-Aignan, Faure, Tondelier
- Marine Le Pen36%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon20%
- Laurent Wauquiez10%
- François Bayrou9%
- Éric Zemmour7%
- Fabien Roussel6.5%
- Jean Lassalle3%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan3%
- Olivier Faure2%
- Philippe Poutou1.5%
- Nathalie Arthaud1%
- Marine Tondelier1%
Line-up 3 · with Le Pen, Le Maire, Roussel, Wauquiez, Dupont-Aignan, Lassalle, Faure, Tondelier
- Marine Le Pen32%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon20%
- Bruno Le Maire18%
- Fabien Roussel6%
- Laurent Wauquiez6%
- Éric Zemmour6%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan3%
- Philippe Poutou2.5%
- Jean Lassalle2.5%
- Olivier Faure2%
- Nathalie Arthaud1%
- Marine Tondelier1%
Line-up 4 · with Le Pen, Darmanin, Wauquiez, Roussel, Dupont-Aignan, Faure, Tondelier, Lassalle
- Marine Le Pen35%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon20%
- Gérald Darmanin11%
- Laurent Wauquiez8%
- Éric Zemmour7%
- Fabien Roussel5%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan4%
- Olivier Faure3%
- Philippe Poutou2.5%
- Marine Tondelier2%
- Jean Lassalle2%
- Nathalie Arthaud0.5%
Line-up 5 · with Bardella, Roussel, Glucksmann, Sébastien, de Villiers, Bayrou
- Jordan Bardella26%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon17%
- Fabien Roussel5%
- Éric Zemmour5%
- Raphaël Glucksmann3%
- Philippe Poutou2.5%
- Patrick Sébastien2.5%
- Philippe de Villiers2%
- Nathalie Arthaud1%
- François Bayrou1%
Line-up 6 · with Le Pen, Philippe, Wauquiez, Dupont-Aignan, Lassalle
- Marine Le Pen31%
- Édouard Philippe28%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon22%
- Éric Zemmour6%
- Laurent Wauquiez4%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan3%
- Philippe Poutou2.5%
- Jean Lassalle2.5%
- Nathalie Arthaud1%
A single poll is one measurement with its own margin of error. Our model weights every published poll, corrects for house effects and projects the range of plausible outcomes.
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