Guadeloupe — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Guadeloupe
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 21.4 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | Others | RN and allies | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guadeloupe — 2ème circonscription | 46.0% | 24.6% | 19.8% | 9.6% |
| Provincial averageGuadeloupe | 59.3%−13.3 | 11.5%+13.1 | 19.1%+0.7 | 3.5%+6.1 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+16.9 | 3.9%+20.6 | 36.0%−16.2 | 12.2%−2.6 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Christian BAPTISTE · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 21.4 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Christian BAPTISTE Elected | Left (NFP) | 10,903 | 41.3 |
| Laurent PETIT | RN and allies | 4,563 | 17.3 |
| Blaise ALDO | LR and allies | 2,291 | 8.7 |
| Priscilla SYLVESTRE | Others | 1,895 | 7.2 |
| Ludovic TOLASSY | Others | 1,761 | 6.7 |
| Steve SALIM | Others | 1,685 | 6.4 |
| Michel TOLA | Left (NFP) | 1,551 | 5.9 |
| Patrick Marcellin GALAS | Centre (Ensemble) | 698 | 2.7 |
| José AYASSAMI | Others | 324 | 1.2 |
| Steeve CIREDERF-ROUYAR | Left (NFP) | 226 | 0.9 |
| Roseline CHATELOT | Others | 182 | 0.7 |
| Paméla POMMIER | Others | 173 | 0.7 |
| Raymond MOLIA | Others | 126 | 0.5 |
| Moïse AYASSAMY | Left (NFP) | 2 | 0.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Guadeloupe — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Guadeloupe — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Guadeloupe — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Martinique — 2ème circonscription Others, safe seat
- Martinique — 1ère circonscription Others, safe seat
- Martinique — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated