Martinique — 1ère circonscription
Legislative constituency · Martinique
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives another bloc a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 56.6 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Others | RN and allies | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martinique — 1ère circonscription | 69.0% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 3.6% |
| Provincial averageMartinique | 51.2%+17.8 | 12.4%+0.1 | 20.1%−9.7 | 12.7%−9.1 |
| National averageFrance | 3.9%+65.1 | 36.0%−23.6 | 29.0%−18.7 | 12.2%−8.6 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Jiovanny WILLIAM · Others
Previous election (2024)
Another bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: another bloc ahead by 56.6 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jiovanny WILLIAM Elected | Others | 13,095 | 56.6 |
| Philippe EDMOND-MARIETTE | Others | 3,106 | 13.4 |
| Alain-Claude LAGIER | Left (NFP) | 2,690 | 11.6 |
| Cédric CRAMPON | RN and allies | 2,312 | 10.0 |
| Gabriel JEAN-MARIE | Far left | 665 | 2.9 |
| Yann MIEVILLY | Greens | 599 | 2.6 |
| Sylvain HOCHE | LR and allies | 584 | 2.5 |
| Fabrice FIARI | Others | 100 | 0.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Martinique — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Martinique — 2ème circonscription Others, safe seat
- Martinique — 4ème circonscription Others, safe seat
- Guadeloupe — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Guadeloupe — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Guadeloupe — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated