Martinique — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Martinique
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives another bloc a 90% chance of winning, with an average lead of 13.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 21%.
Compared with the average
| Others | LR and allies | RN and allies | Left (NFP) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martinique — 2ème circonscription | 47.6% | 34.0% | 12.8% | 5.5% |
| Provincial averageMartinique | 51.2%−3.6 | 12.7%+21.3 | 12.4%+0.5 | 20.1%−14.6 |
| National averageFrance | 3.9%+43.7 | 12.2%+21.8 | 36.0%−23.1 | 29.0%−23.5 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Marcellin NADEAU · Others
Previous election (2024)
Another bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: another bloc ahead by 13.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marcellin NADEAU Elected | Others | 12,017 | 48.3 |
| Yan MONPLAISIR | LR and allies | 6,732 | 27.1 |
| Juvénal REMIR | RN and allies | 2,614 | 10.5 |
| Christian RAPHA | LR and allies | 1,888 | 7.6 |
| Alexandre VENTADOUR | Left (NFP) | 1,626 | 6.5 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Martinique — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Martinique — 1ère circonscription Others, safe seat
- Martinique — 4ème circonscription Others, safe seat
- Guadeloupe — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Guadeloupe — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Guadeloupe — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated