Martinique — 3ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Martinique
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 40.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | Others | RN and allies | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martinique — 3ème circonscription | 61.9% | 21.2% | 11.9% | 3.1% |
| Provincial averageMartinique | 20.1%+41.8 | 51.2%−30.0 | 12.4%−0.5 | 12.7%−9.6 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+32.9 | 3.9%+17.3 | 36.0%−24.1 | 12.2%−9.1 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Beatrice BELLAY · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 40.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny HAJJAR | Left (NFP) | 6,626 | 37.3 |
| Beatrice BELLAY Elected | Left (NFP) | 4,489 | 25.3 |
| Francis CAROLE | Others | 2,617 | 14.7 |
| Max FERRATY | RN and allies | 1,684 | 9.5 |
| Nathalie JOS | Others | 1,010 | 5.7 |
| Frédérique DISPAGNE | Left (NFP) | 624 | 3.5 |
| Mélanie SULIO | Far left | 363 | 2.0 |
| Emmanuel GRANIER | LR and allies | 361 | 2.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Martinique — 2ème circonscription Others, safe seat
- Martinique — 1ère circonscription Others, safe seat
- Martinique — 4ème circonscription Others, safe seat
- Guadeloupe — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Guadeloupe — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Guadeloupe — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated