Lac-Saint-Jean
Provincial riding · Quebec
October 5, 2026 result
William Fradette (Parti Québécois) wins with 45.6% of the vote, 23.3 points ahead of Tommy Gauthier (PCQ).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Fradette | PQ | 13,676 | 45.6% |
| Tommy Gauthier | PCQ | 6,688 | 22.3% |
| François Cormier | CAQ | 4,549 | 15.2% |
| Anne Pâquet | QLP | 2,716 | 9.1% |
| Antoine Bessette | QS | 2,043 | 6.8% |
| Sylvain Tremblay | Other | 186 | 0.6% |
| Stefany Tremblay | Other | 129 | 0.4% |
Our forecast before the vote
We had the PQ favoured at 100% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the call held.
| Party | Forecast | Result | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| PQ | 50.6% | 45.6% | −5.0 |
| PCQ | 18.6% | 22.3% | +3.7 |
| CAQ | 13.9% | 15.2% | +1.3 |
| QLP | 10.8% | 9.1% | −1.8 |
| QS | 5.5% | 6.8% | +1.3 |
| Other | 0.5% | 1.1% | +0.6 |
Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.
Advance voting · September 27 and 28
About 28% of votes were cast in advance
- Registered electors who voted
- 18.8% Rank 108 of 127
- Quebec average
- 23.6%
- Estimated share of votes already cast
- ≈ 28% Quebec: about 36%
- Compared with 2022
- +27% 2022: 14.7% · Quebec: +12%
Compared with 2022, advance voting rose here more than across Quebec (increase ranked 5 of 108 comparable ridings). In past elections, a stronger-than-expected rise mostly signalled higher overall turnout, not a winner.
Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (67.2%). See all 127 ridings
Compared with the average
| PQ | PCQ | CAQ | QLP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lac-Saint-Jean | 50.7% | 18.7% | 13.9% | 10.9% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 28.7%+21.9 | 20.2%−1.5 | 13.9%−0.1 | 24.8%−13.9 |
Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election (2022)
The CAQ won by 25.9 points, with 67.2% turnout.
Our current projection: the PQ ahead by 31.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2022
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Girard Elected | CAQ | 14,798 | 51.5 |
| William Fradette | PQ | 7,367 | 25.6 |
| Luc Martel | PCQ | 3,270 | 11.4 |
| Elsa Moulin | QS | 2,178 | 7.6 |
| Tricia Murray | QLP | 867 | 3.0 |
| Martin Lavoie | Other | 156 | 0.5 |
| Chantale Villeneuve | Other | 116 | 0.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Dubuc PQ, safe seat
- Roberval PQ, safe seat
- Jonquière PQ, safe seat
- Chicoutimi PQ, safe seat
- Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré PQ, toss-up
- Chauveau PCQ, safe seat
- Forecast updated