Dubuc
Provincial riding · Quebec
October 5, 2026 result
Émile Simard (Parti Québécois) wins with 38.6% of the vote, 10.2 points ahead of Catherine Morissette (PCQ).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Émile Simard | PQ | 10,725 | 38.6% |
| Catherine Morissette | PCQ | 7,894 | 28.4% |
| Marc Grandbois | CAQ | 3,987 | 14.4% |
| Virginie Bouchard | QLP | 3,151 | 11.3% |
| Ève Laguë | QS | 1,804 | 6.5% |
| Joelle Lavallée | Other | 202 | 0.7% |
Our forecast before the vote
We had the PQ favoured at 99% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the call held.
| Party | Forecast | Result | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| PQ | 41.4% | 38.6% | −2.8 |
| PCQ | 21.3% | 28.4% | +7.2 |
| CAQ | 19.9% | 14.4% | −5.5 |
| QLP | 9.5% | 11.3% | +1.8 |
| QS | 7.3% | 6.5% | −0.8 |
Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.
Advance voting · September 27 and 28
About 32% of votes were cast in advance
- Registered electors who voted
- 20.6% Rank 95 of 127
- Quebec average
- 23.6%
- Estimated share of votes already cast
- ≈ 32% Quebec: about 36%
- Compared with 2022
- +13% 2022: 18.2% · Quebec: +12%
Compared with 2022, advance voting rose here about as much as across Quebec.
Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (65.0%). See all 127 ridings
Compared with the average
| PQ | PCQ | CAQ | QLP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dubuc | 41.4% | 21.3% | 19.9% | 9.5% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 28.7%+12.7 | 20.2%+1.1 | 13.9%+5.9 | 24.8%−15.2 |
Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election (2022)
The CAQ won by 40.1 points, with 65.1% turnout.
Our current projection: the PQ ahead by 18.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2022
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| François Tremblay Elected | CAQ | 15,427 | 57.6 |
| Émile Simard | PQ | 4,699 | 17.5 |
| Tommy Pageau | PCQ | 2,956 | 11.0 |
| Andrée-Anne Brillant | QS | 2,833 | 10.6 |
| Berry Zinga Nkuni | QLP | 666 | 2.5 |
| Gilbert Simard | Other | 200 | 0.7 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Lac-Saint-Jean PQ, safe seat
- Roberval PQ, safe seat
- Chicoutimi PQ, safe seat
- Jonquière PQ, safe seat
- René-Lévesque PQ, safe seat
- Côte-du-Sud PCQ, competitive
- Forecast updated