Chauveau
Provincial riding · Quebec · Quebec City
October 5, 2026 result
Karim Elayoubi (Conservative Party of Quebec) wins with 48.0% of the vote, 27.4 points ahead of Mathieu Foltz (PQ).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Karim Elayoubi | PCQ | 22,157 | 48.0% |
| Mathieu Foltz | PQ | 9,513 | 20.6% |
| John McGrath | QLP | 5,838 | 12.6% |
| Christian Lachance | CAQ | 4,475 | 9.7% |
| Émilie Couture | QS | 3,873 | 8.4% |
| William Beaudry | Other | 325 | 0.7% |
Our forecast before the vote
We had the Quebec Conservatives favoured at 97% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the call held.
| Party | Forecast | Result | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| PCQ | 39.7% | 48.0% | +8.3 |
| PQ | 18.5% | 20.6% | +2.1 |
| QLP | 13.0% | 12.6% | −0.3 |
| CAQ | 21.8% | 9.7% | −12.1 |
| QS | 6.5% | 8.4% | +1.9 |
Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.
Advance voting · September 27 and 28
About 44% of votes were cast in advance
- Registered electors who voted
- 33.7% Rank 4 of 127
- Quebec average
- 23.6%
- Estimated share of votes already cast
- ≈ 44% Quebec: about 36%
- Compared with 2022
- +5% 2022: 31.9% · Quebec: +12%
Compared with 2022, advance voting rose here less than across Quebec (increase ranked 91 of 108 comparable ridings). In past elections, a weaker-than-expected rise mostly signalled lower overall turnout, not a winner.
Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (75.7%). See all 127 ridings
Compared with the average
| PCQ | CAQ | PQ | QLP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chauveau | 39.7% | 21.8% | 18.5% | 13.0% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 20.2%+19.5 | 13.9%+7.8 | 28.7%−10.2 | 24.8%−11.8 |
Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election (2022)
The CAQ won by 15.0 points, with 75.7% turnout.
Our current projection: the Quebec Conservatives ahead by 16.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2022
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sylvain Lévesque Elected | CAQ | 20,292 | 46.8 |
| Éric Duhaime | PCQ | 13,794 | 31.8 |
| Jimena Ruiz Aragon | QS | 3,816 | 8.8 |
| Charles-Hubert Riverin | PQ | 3,307 | 7.6 |
| Igor Pivovar | QLP | 1,651 | 3.8 |
| Renaud Blais | Other | 213 | 0.5 |
| Christine Lepage | Other | 201 | 0.5 |
| Nicolas Bouffard-Savoie | Other | 44 | 0.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Portneuf PCQ, safe seat
- La Peltrie PCQ, safe seat
- Louis-Hébert PQ, toss-up
- Charlesbourg PCQ, toss-up
- Vanier-Les Rivières PCQ, toss-up
- Montmorency PCQ, safe seat
- Forecast updated