Montmorency
Provincial riding · Quebec · Quebec City
October 5, 2026 result
Marie-Josée Hélie (Conservative Party of Quebec) wins with 43.6% of the vote, 21.2 points ahead of Nathalie Gagnon (PQ).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marie-Josée Hélie | PCQ | 19,153 | 43.6% |
| Nathalie Gagnon | PQ | 9,857 | 22.4% |
| Jean-François Simard | CAQ | 5,618 | 12.8% |
| René-Paul Coly | QLP | 5,101 | 11.6% |
| Annie-Pierre Bélanger | QS | 3,828 | 8.7% |
| Renaud Blais | Other | 222 | 0.5% |
| Pierre Gosselin | Other | 90 | 0.2% |
| Jean Bédard | Other | 34 | 0.1% |
Our forecast before the vote
We had the Quebec Conservatives favoured at 97% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the call held.
| Party | Forecast | Result | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| PCQ | 37.8% | 43.6% | +5.9 |
| PQ | 22.9% | 22.4% | −0.5 |
| CAQ | 17.2% | 12.8% | −4.4 |
| QLP | 13.1% | 11.6% | −1.5 |
| QS | 8.5% | 8.7% | +0.3 |
Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.
Advance voting · September 27 and 28
About 45% of votes were cast in advance
- Registered electors who voted
- 33.5% Rank 6 of 127
- Quebec average
- 23.6%
- Estimated share of votes already cast
- ≈ 45% Quebec: about 36%
- Compared with 2022
- +12% 2022: 30.0% · Quebec: +12%
Compared with 2022, advance voting rose here about as much as across Quebec.
Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (73.9%). See all 127 ridings
Compared with the average
| PCQ | PQ | CAQ | QLP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montmorency | 37.8% | 22.9% | 17.2% | 13.1% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 20.2%+17.6 | 28.7%−5.8 | 13.9%+3.2 | 24.8%−11.6 |
Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election (2022)
The CAQ won by 19.1 points, with 73.9% turnout.
Our current projection: the Quebec Conservatives ahead by 14.2 points.
Candidates and votes in 2022
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jean-François Simard Elected | CAQ | 19,124 | 45.2 |
| Mylene Bouchard | PCQ | 11,031 | 26.1 |
| Annie-Pierre Bélanger | QS | 5,100 | 12.0 |
| Cynthia Therrien | PQ | 4,773 | 11.3 |
| Mustapha Berri | QLP | 1,969 | 4.7 |
| Nicholas Lescarbeau | Other | 274 | 0.6 |
| Jean Bédard | Other | 55 | 0.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Jean-Lesage QS, toss-up
- Charlesbourg PCQ, toss-up
- Taschereau PQ, competitive
- Lévis PCQ, competitive
- Vanier-Les Rivières PCQ, toss-up
- Jean-Talon PQ, competitive
- Forecast updated