Lévis
Provincial riding · Quebec · Quebec City
October 5, 2026 result
Karine Laflamme (Conservative Party of Quebec) wins with 38.5% of the vote, 16.3 points ahead of Yanick Godbout (PQ).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Karine Laflamme | PCQ | 15,375 | 38.5% |
| Yanick Godbout | PQ | 8,875 | 22.2% |
| Bernard Drainville | CAQ | 6,835 | 17.1% |
| Brittany Blais | QLP | 5,381 | 13.5% |
| Simon Beauchamp-Léveillé | QS | 3,146 | 7.9% |
| Pierre Germain | Other | 163 | 0.4% |
| Yvan Tremblay | Other | 130 | 0.3% |
Our forecast before the vote
We had the Quebec Conservatives favoured at 63% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the call held.
On the eve of the vote, the Polymarket market had Karine Laflamme (PCQ) winning at 80%: it got it right. Polymarket
| Party | Forecast | Result | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| PCQ | 31.7% | 38.5% | +6.8 |
| PQ | 25.9% | 22.2% | −3.6 |
| CAQ | 20.3% | 17.1% | −3.2 |
| QLP | 13.5% | 13.5% | +0.0 |
| QS | 8.0% | 7.9% | −0.1 |
Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.
Advance voting · September 27 and 28
About 46% of votes were cast in advance
- Registered electors who voted
- 34.0% Rank 3 of 127
- Quebec average
- 23.6%
- Estimated share of votes already cast
- ≈ 46% Quebec: about 36%
- Compared with 2022
- +16% 2022: 29.2% · Quebec: +12%
Compared with 2022, advance voting rose here about as much as across Quebec.
Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (73.7%). See all 127 ridings
Compared with the average
| PCQ | PQ | CAQ | QLP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lévis | 31.7% | 25.9% | 20.3% | 13.5% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 20.2%+11.5 | 28.7%−2.9 | 13.9%+6.4 | 24.8%−11.3 |
Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election (2022)
The CAQ won by 28.0 points, with 73.7% turnout.
Our current projection: the Quebec Conservatives ahead by 9.4 points.
Candidates and votes in 2022
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bernard Drainville Elected | CAQ | 18,051 | 48.8 |
| Karine Laflamme | PCQ | 7,677 | 20.8 |
| Pierre-Gilles Morel | PQ | 4,775 | 12.9 |
| Valérie Cayouette-Guilloteau | QS | 4,244 | 11.5 |
| Richard Garon | QLP | 1,899 | 5.1 |
| Mehdi Lahlou | Other | 213 | 0.6 |
| André Voyer | Other | 138 | 0.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Taschereau PQ, competitive
- Jean-Lesage QS, toss-up
- Jean-Talon PQ, competitive
- Chutes-de-la-Chaudière PCQ, competitive
- Charlesbourg PCQ, toss-up
- Vanier-Les Rivières PCQ, toss-up
- Forecast updated