Chutes-de-la-Chaudière
Provincial riding · Quebec · Quebec City
October 5, 2026 result
Dominique Dumas (Conservative Party of Quebec) wins with 45.6% of the vote, 22.6 points ahead of Serge Bonin (PQ).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Dumas | PCQ | 22,628 | 45.6% |
| Serge Bonin | PQ | 11,431 | 23.0% |
| Stéphane Clavet | QLP | 6,546 | 13.2% |
| Martine Biron | CAQ | 5,704 | 11.5% |
| Jean-Benoît Ouellet | QS | 2,690 | 5.4% |
| Dominic Dumas | Other | 511 | 1.0% |
| David Baillargeon | Other | 134 | 0.3% |
Our forecast before the vote
We had the Quebec Conservatives favoured at 86% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the call held.
| Party | Forecast | Result | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| PCQ | 38.0% | 45.6% | +7.6 |
| PQ | 21.5% | 23.0% | +1.5 |
| QLP | 12.8% | 13.2% | +0.3 |
| CAQ | 20.6% | 11.5% | −9.2 |
| QS | 6.3% | 5.4% | −0.9 |
| Other | 0.7% | 1.3% | +0.6 |
Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.
Advance voting · September 27 and 28
About 43% of votes were cast in advance
- Registered electors who voted
- 33.6% Rank 5 of 127
- Quebec average
- 23.6%
- Estimated share of votes already cast
- ≈ 43% Quebec: about 36%
- Compared with 2022
- +7% 2022: 31.4% · Quebec: +12%
Compared with 2022, advance voting rose here less than across Quebec (increase ranked 80 of 108 comparable ridings). In past elections, a weaker-than-expected rise mostly signalled lower overall turnout, not a winner.
Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (78.9%). See all 127 ridings
Compared with the average
| PCQ | PQ | CAQ | QLP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chutes-de-la-Chaudière | 38.0% | 21.5% | 20.7% | 12.8% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 20.2%+17.8 | 28.7%−7.2 | 13.9%+6.7 | 24.8%−11.9 |
Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election (2022)
The CAQ won by 20.3 points, with 78.9% turnout.
Our current projection: the Quebec Conservatives ahead by 14.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2022
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Martine Biron Elected | CAQ | 22,055 | 47.5 |
| Mario Fortier | PCQ | 12,640 | 27.2 |
| François-Noël Brault | PQ | 5,163 | 11.1 |
| Caroline Thibault | QS | 4,311 | 9.3 |
| Wafa Oueslati | QLP | 2,298 | 4.9 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Jean-Talon PQ, competitive
- Taschereau PQ, competitive
- Lévis PCQ, competitive
- Vanier-Les Rivières PCQ, toss-up
- Jean-Lesage QS, toss-up
- Louis-Hébert PQ, toss-up
- Forecast updated