Taschereau
Provincial riding · Quebec · Quebec City
October 5, 2026 result
Étienne Grandmont (Québec solidaire) wins with 41.8% of the vote, 16.5 points ahead of Christian Savard (PQ).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Étienne Grandmont | QS | 15,020 | 41.8% |
| Christian Savard | PQ | 9,081 | 25.3% |
| Farnell Morisset | QLP | 5,043 | 14.0% |
| Eliot Estévez-Verville | PCQ | 4,140 | 11.5% |
| Brigitte Martin | CAQ | 2,378 | 6.6% |
| Jean-François Joubert | Other | 143 | 0.4% |
| Patrick Kerr | Other | 121 | 0.3% |
| Guy Boivin | Other | 36 | 0.1% |
Our forecast before the vote
We had the PQ favoured at 94% (forecast of October 4, 2026): Québec solidaire won instead.
On the eve of the vote, the Polymarket market had Christian Savard (PQ) winning at 67%: it got it wrong. Polymarket
| Party | Forecast | Result | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| QS | 28.0% | 41.8% | +13.8 |
| PQ | 40.7% | 25.3% | −15.4 |
| QLP | 11.8% | 14.0% | +2.3 |
| PCQ | 13.5% | 11.5% | −2.0 |
| CAQ | 5.1% | 6.6% | +1.5 |
Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.
Advance voting · September 27 and 28
About 39% of votes were cast in advance
- Registered electors who voted
- 28.4% Rank 19 of 127
- Quebec average
- 23.6%
- Estimated share of votes already cast
- ≈ 39% Quebec: about 36%
- Compared with 2022
- +15% 2022: 24.7% · Quebec: +12%
Compared with 2022, advance voting rose here about as much as across Quebec.
Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (72.3%). See all 127 ridings
Compared with the average
| PQ | QS | PCQ | QLP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taschereau | 40.7% | 28.0% | 13.5% | 11.8% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 28.7%+12.0 | 10.9%+17.1 | 20.2%−6.7 | 24.8%−13.0 |
Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election (2022)
Québec solidaire won by 17.0 points, with 72.3% turnout.
Our current projection: the PQ ahead by 13.2 points.
Candidates and votes in 2022
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Etienne Grandmont Elected | QS | 13,588 | 39.5 |
| Jeanne Robin | PQ | 7,757 | 22.6 |
| Pascale St-Hilaire | CAQ | 7,537 | 21.9 |
| Marie-Josée Hélie | PCQ | 3,012 | 8.8 |
| Ahmed Lamine Touré | QLP | 2,025 | 5.9 |
| Andrew Karim | Other | 225 | 0.7 |
| Jean-François Joubert | Other | 102 | 0.3 |
| Marie-Soleil Fillion | Other | 83 | 0.2 |
| Guy Boivin | Other | 41 | 0.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Jean-Lesage QS, toss-up
- Jean-Talon PQ, competitive
- Lévis PCQ, competitive
- Vanier-Les Rivières PCQ, toss-up
- Charlesbourg PCQ, toss-up
- Chutes-de-la-Chaudière PCQ, competitive
- Forecast updated