Portneuf
Provincial riding · Quebec · Quebec City
October 5, 2026 result
Marcel Bouchard (Conservative Party of Quebec) wins with 51.6% of the vote, 33.7 points ahead of Vincent Caron (CAQ).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marcel Bouchard | PCQ | 21,817 | 51.6% |
| Vincent Caron | CAQ | 7,545 | 17.8% |
| Raymond Francoeur | PQ | 6,559 | 15.5% |
| Jeremy Ouellet-Rousseau | QLP | 3,200 | 7.6% |
| Anne-Marie Melançon | QS | 2,760 | 6.5% |
| Marc-André Demers | Other | 165 | 0.4% |
| Jean Cloutier | Other | 140 | 0.3% |
| Michaël Bernatchez | Other | 108 | 0.3% |
Our forecast before the vote
We had the Quebec Conservatives favoured at 98% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the call held.
| Party | Forecast | Result | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| PCQ | 42.5% | 51.6% | +9.0 |
| CAQ | 22.0% | 17.8% | −4.1 |
| PQ | 19.6% | 15.5% | −4.1 |
| QLP | 9.4% | 7.6% | −1.9 |
| QS | 5.7% | 6.5% | +0.8 |
Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.
Advance voting · September 27 and 28
About 42% of votes were cast in advance
- Registered electors who voted
- 30.5% Rank 12 of 127
- Quebec average
- 23.6%
- Estimated share of votes already cast
- ≈ 42% Quebec: about 36%
Portneuf's boundaries changed too much since 2022 to compare rates.
Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (73.3%). See all 127 ridings
Compared with the average
| PCQ | CAQ | PQ | QLP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portneuf | 42.5% | 22.0% | 19.6% | 9.4% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 20.2%+22.3 | 13.9%+8.1 | 28.7%−9.1 | 24.8%−15.3 |
Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election (2022)
The CAQ won by 17.6 points, with 73.3% turnout.
Our current projection: the Quebec Conservatives ahead by 18.6 points.
Candidates and votes in 2022
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Caron Elected | CAQ | 15,412 | 47.3 |
| Jacinthe-Eve Arel | PCQ | 9,675 | 29.7 |
| Alexandre Mc Cabe | PQ | 3,203 | 9.8 |
| Anne-Marie Melançon | QS | 2,675 | 8.2 |
| Patrick Hayes | QLP | 916 | 2.8 |
| Patrick Bourson | Other | 608 | 1.9 |
| Karine Simard | Other | 40 | 0.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Chauveau PCQ, safe seat
- La Peltrie PCQ, safe seat
- Louis-Hébert PQ, toss-up
- Champlain PCQ, toss-up
- Vanier-Les Rivières PCQ, toss-up
- Charlesbourg PCQ, toss-up
- Forecast updated