Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré
Provincial riding · Quebec · Quebec City
October 5, 2026 result
Caroline Simard (Conservative Party of Quebec) wins with 39.0% of the vote, 13.4 points ahead of François Gariépy (PQ).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Simard | PCQ | 15,899 | 39.0% |
| François Gariépy | PQ | 10,438 | 25.6% |
| Kariane Bourassa | CAQ | 7,210 | 17.7% |
| Dulce Vivar | QS | 3,773 | 9.3% |
| Michel Bureau | QLP | 3,234 | 7.9% |
| James Collins | Other | 128 | 0.3% |
| Mario Desjardins Pelchat | Other | 81 | 0.2% |
Our forecast before the vote
We had the PQ favoured at 68% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the Quebec Conservatives won instead.
| Party | Forecast | Result | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| PCQ | 28.4% | 39.0% | +10.6 |
| PQ | 33.0% | 25.6% | −7.4 |
| CAQ | 17.0% | 17.7% | +0.7 |
| QS | 8.4% | 9.3% | +0.9 |
| QLP | 12.8% | 7.9% | −4.8 |
Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.
Advance voting · September 27 and 28
About 34% of votes were cast in advance
- Registered electors who voted
- 24.2% Rank 54 of 127
- Quebec average
- 23.6%
- Estimated share of votes already cast
- ≈ 34% Quebec: about 36%
- Compared with 2022
- +7% 2022: 22.5% · Quebec: +12%
Compared with 2022, advance voting rose here less than across Quebec (increase ranked 82 of 108 comparable ridings). In past elections, a weaker-than-expected rise mostly signalled lower overall turnout, not a winner.
Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (70.2%). See all 127 ridings
Compared with the average
| PQ | PCQ | CAQ | QLP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré | 33.1% | 28.4% | 17.0% | 12.8% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 28.7%+4.3 | 20.2%+8.2 | 13.9%+3.0 | 24.8%−12.0 |
Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election (2022)
The CAQ won by 30.1 points, with 70.2% turnout.
Our current projection: the PQ ahead by 8.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2022
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kariane Bourassa Elected | CAQ | 17,979 | 48.2 |
| Odré Lacombe | PCQ | 6,763 | 18.1 |
| Lucien Rodrigue | PQ | 6,041 | 16.2 |
| Myriam Fortin | QS | 4,677 | 12.5 |
| Michel Bureau | QLP | 1,756 | 4.7 |
| Stefany Tremblay | Other | 106 | 0.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Côte-du-Sud PCQ, competitive
- Montmorency PCQ, safe seat
- Bellechasse PCQ, safe seat
- Jean-Lesage QS, toss-up
- Charlesbourg PCQ, toss-up
- Lévis PCQ, competitive
- Forecast updated