Abitibi-Est
Provincial riding · Quebec
October 5, 2026 result
Stéphane Tremblay (Parti Québécois) wins with 34.6% of the vote, 12.4 points ahead of Jean-Philip Girard (PCQ).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stéphane Tremblay | PQ | 7,192 | 34.6% |
| Jean-Philip Girard | PCQ | 4,609 | 22.2% |
| Pierre Dufour | QLP | 4,292 | 20.7% |
| Manon Barbe | CAQ | 2,587 | 12.5% |
| Sara Germain | QS | 1,956 | 9.4% |
| Christian Savard | Other | 123 | 0.6% |
Our forecast before the vote
We had the PQ favoured at 55% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the call held.
| Party | Forecast | Result | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| PQ | 29.1% | 34.6% | +5.6 |
| PCQ | 19.8% | 22.2% | +2.4 |
| QLP | 27.5% | 20.7% | −6.8 |
| CAQ | 12.9% | 12.5% | −0.4 |
| QS | 8.9% | 9.4% | +0.5 |
| Other | 1.9% | 0.6% | −1.3 |
Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.
Advance voting · September 27 and 28
About 34% of votes were cast in advance
- Registered electors who voted
- 21.0% Rank 89 of 127
- Quebec average
- 23.6%
- Estimated share of votes already cast
- ≈ 34% Quebec: about 36%
- Compared with 2022
- +15% 2022: 18.3% · Quebec: +12%
Compared with 2022, advance voting rose here about as much as across Quebec.
Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (62.6%). See all 127 ridings
Compared with the average
| PQ | QLP | PCQ | CAQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abitibi-Est | 29.1% | 27.5% | 19.8% | 12.9% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 28.7%+0.3 | 24.8%+2.8 | 20.2%−0.4 | 13.9%−1.1 |
Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election (2022)
The CAQ won by 32.5 points, with 62.6% turnout.
Our current projection: the PQ ahead by 6.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2022
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre Dufour Elected | CAQ | 9,762 | 47.2 |
| Jean-Maurice Matte | QLP | 3,044 | 14.7 |
| Benjamin Gingras | QS | 2,838 | 13.7 |
| Jacline Rouleau | PQ | 2,565 | 12.4 |
| Maxym Perron-Tellier | PCQ | 2,486 | 12.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue PQ, competitive
- Gatineau QLP, safe seat
- Pontiac QLP, safe seat
- Abitibi-Ouest PQ, safe seat
- Labelle PQ, safe seat
- Hull QLP, safe seat
- Forecast updated