Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Gatineau

Provincial riding · Quebec

October 5, 2026 result

David Logue (Quebec Liberal Party) wins with 41.3% of the vote, 19.2 points ahead of Raphaël Déry (PQ).

CandidatePartyVotesShare
David Logue QLP 15,547 41.3%
Raphaël Déry PQ 8,308 22.1%
Ogbognon Bertin Aboussou PCQ 6,665 17.7%
William Robertson CAQ 3,988 10.6%
Emmanuelle Tremblay QS 2,903 7.7%
Pierre Brabant Other 265 0.7%

Preliminary results, 206 of 206 polls, retrieved October 6, 2026 · Turnout: 61.4% · Official source

Our forecast before the vote

We had the Quebec Liberals favoured at 96% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the call held.

PartyForecastResultGap
QLP 35.6% 41.3% +5.6
PQ 20.0% 22.1% +2.1
PCQ 19.3% 17.7% −1.6
CAQ 15.8% 10.6% −5.2
QS 7.9% 7.7% −0.2
Other 1.5% 0.7% −0.8

Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.

Advance voting · September 27 and 28

About 35% of votes were cast in advance

Registered electors who voted
20.8%
Rank 94 of 127
Quebec average
23.6%
Estimated share of votes already cast
≈ 35%
Quebec: about 36%
Compared with 2022
+11%
2022: 18.6% · Quebec: +12%

Compared with 2022, advance voting rose here about as much as across Quebec.

Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (58.8%). See all 127 ridings

Compared with the average

QLP PQ PCQ CAQ
Gatineau 35.6%20.0%19.3%15.8%
Provincial averageQuebec 24.8%+10.9 28.7%−8.7 20.2%−0.9 13.9%+1.9

Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election (2022)

The CAQ won by 27.2 points, with 58.8% turnout.

Our current projection: the Quebec Liberals ahead by 13.2 points.

Candidates and votes in 2022

Candidate Party Votes %
Robert Bussière Elected CAQ 17,055 46.7
Caryl Green QLP 7,137 19.6
Laura Avalos QS 4,415 12.1
Joëlle Jammal PCQ 3,927 10.8
Raphaël Déry PQ 3,542 9.7
Danilo Velasquez Other 327 0.9
Robert Dupuis Other 88 0.2

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated