Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Hull

Provincial riding · Quebec

October 5, 2026 result

Sacha Cannon (Quebec Liberal Party) wins with 42.4% of the vote, 24.7 points ahead of Mariève Forest (QS).

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Sacha Cannon QLP 14,349 42.4%
Mariève Forest QS 6,006 17.8%
Paul Fauteux PQ 5,717 16.9%
Suzanne Tremblay CAQ 3,973 11.7%
Anne-Marie Couturier PCQ 3,602 10.7%
Danilo Velasquez Other 185 0.6%

Preliminary results, 195 of 195 polls, retrieved October 6, 2026 · Turnout: 56.2% · Official source

Our forecast before the vote

We had the Quebec Liberals favoured at 99% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the call held.

PartyForecastResultGap
QLP 39.3% 42.4% +3.1
QS 13.9% 17.8% +3.8
PQ 19.7% 16.9% −2.8
CAQ 11.0% 11.7% +0.7
PCQ 13.4% 10.7% −2.7
Other 2.7% 0.6% −2.1

Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.

Advance voting · September 27 and 28

About 35% of votes were cast in advance

Registered electors who voted
20.4%
Rank 97 of 127
Quebec average
23.6%
Estimated share of votes already cast
≈ 35%
Quebec: about 36%
Compared with 2022
+6%
2022: 19.1% · Quebec: +12%

Compared with 2022, advance voting rose here less than across Quebec (increase ranked 88 of 108 comparable ridings). In past elections, a weaker-than-expected rise mostly signalled lower overall turnout, not a winner.

Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (58.0%). See all 127 ridings

Compared with the average

QLP PQ QS PCQ
Hull 39.3%19.7%13.9%13.4%
Provincial averageQuebec 24.8%+14.5 28.7%−9.0 10.9%+3.0 20.2%−6.8

Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election (2022)

The CAQ won by 9.2 points, with 58.0% turnout.

Our current projection: the Quebec Liberals ahead by 18.6 points.

Candidates and votes in 2022

Candidate Party Votes %
Suzanne Tremblay Elected CAQ 11,060 34.6
Maryse Gaudreault QLP 8,276 25.9
Mathieu Perron-Dufour QS 6,623 20.8
Camille Pellerin-Forget PQ 3,122 9.8
Lise Couture PCQ 2,189 6.9
Rachid Jemmah Other 655 2.1

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated