Soulanges
Provincial riding · Quebec
October 5, 2026 result
Olivier Bertin-Mahieux (Quebec Liberal Party) wins with 35.7% of the vote, 10.4 points ahead of Francis Deroo (PQ).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Olivier Bertin-Mahieux | QLP | 14,273 | 35.7% |
| Francis Deroo | PQ | 10,123 | 25.3% |
| Kristian Solarik | PCQ | 7,067 | 17.7% |
| Marilyne Picard | CAQ | 5,527 | 13.8% |
| Florian Martin | QS | 2,406 | 6.0% |
| Joseph Cianflone | Other | 485 | 1.2% |
| Jules Briand | Other | 136 | 0.3% |
Our forecast before the vote
We had the Quebec Liberals favoured at 83% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the call held.
| Party | Forecast | Result | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| QLP | 34.7% | 35.7% | +1.0 |
| PQ | 19.4% | 25.3% | +5.9 |
| PCQ | 21.1% | 17.7% | −3.4 |
| CAQ | 16.9% | 13.8% | −3.1 |
| QS | 6.4% | 6.0% | −0.4 |
| Other | 1.5% | 1.6% | +0.1 |
Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.
Advance voting · September 27 and 28
About 32% of votes were cast in advance
- Registered electors who voted
- 21.4% Rank 88 of 127
- Quebec average
- 23.6%
- Estimated share of votes already cast
- ≈ 32% Quebec: about 36%
- Compared with 2022
- +5% 2022: 20.4% · Quebec: +12%
Compared with 2022, advance voting rose here less than across Quebec (increase ranked 93 of 108 comparable ridings). In past elections, a weaker-than-expected rise mostly signalled lower overall turnout, not a winner.
Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (67.3%). See all 127 ridings
Compared with the average
| QLP | PCQ | PQ | CAQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soulanges | 34.7% | 21.1% | 19.4% | 17.0% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 24.8%+9.9 | 20.2%+0.9 | 28.7%−9.3 | 13.9%+3.0 |
Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election (2022)
The CAQ won by 20.3 points, with 67.3% turnout.
Our current projection: the Quebec Liberals ahead by 11.6 points.
Candidates and votes in 2022
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marilyne Picard Elected | CAQ | 17,114 | 42.4 |
| Catherine St-Amour | QLP | 8,761 | 21.7 |
| Éloïse Coulombe | PCQ | 5,006 | 12.4 |
| Sophie Samson | QS | 4,353 | 10.8 |
| Samuel Patenaude | PQ | 4,124 | 10.2 |
| Kristian Solarik | Other | 795 | 2.0 |
| Other candidates | 248 | 0.6 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Beauharnois PQ, competitive
- Vaudreuil QLP, safe seat
- Mirabel PQ, competitive
- Nelligan QLP, safe seat
- Deux-Montagnes PQ, competitive
- Jacques-Cartier QLP, safe seat
- Forecast updated