Beauharnois
Provincial riding · Quebec
October 5, 2026 result
Alexandre Daneau (Parti Québécois) wins with 44.9% of the vote, 25.9 points ahead of Claude Reid (CAQ).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandre Daneau | PQ | 17,729 | 44.9% |
| Claude Reid | CAQ | 7,511 | 19.0% |
| Angélika Homère | PCQ | 6,181 | 15.7% |
| Charles Royer Tremblay | QLP | 4,994 | 12.6% |
| Virginie Helene Hockers | QS | 2,519 | 6.4% |
| Charmaine Carvalho | Other | 393 | 1.0% |
| Karine Pelletier | Other | 173 | 0.4% |
Our forecast before the vote
We had the PQ favoured at 93% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the call held.
On the eve of the vote, the Polymarket market had Alexandre Daneau (PQ) winning at 97%: it got it right. Polymarket
| Party | Forecast | Result | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| PQ | 36.4% | 44.9% | +8.5 |
| CAQ | 17.8% | 19.0% | +1.2 |
| PCQ | 18.3% | 15.7% | −2.7 |
| QLP | 17.3% | 12.6% | −4.6 |
| QS | 9.6% | 6.4% | −3.3 |
| Other | 0.6% | 1.4% | +0.9 |
Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.
Advance voting · September 27 and 28
About 40% of votes were cast in advance
- Registered electors who voted
- 26.4% Rank 34 of 127
- Quebec average
- 23.6%
- Estimated share of votes already cast
- ≈ 40% Quebec: about 36%
Beauharnois's boundaries changed too much since 2022 to compare rates.
Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (66.4%). See all 127 ridings
Compared with the average
| PQ | PCQ | CAQ | QLP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beauharnois | 36.4% | 18.3% | 17.8% | 17.3% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 28.7%+7.7 | 20.2%−1.9 | 13.9%+3.9 | 24.8%−7.5 |
Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election (2022)
The CAQ won by 35.9 points, with 66.4% turnout.
Our current projection: the PQ ahead by 13.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2022
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Reid Elected | CAQ | 17,882 | 53.1 |
| Claudine Desforges | PQ | 5,640 | 16.8 |
| Emilie Poirier | QS | 4,299 | 12.8 |
| Chantal Dauphinais | PCQ | 3,112 | 9.2 |
| Marc Blanchard | QLP | 1,940 | 5.8 |
| Hélène Savard | Other | 243 | 0.7 |
| Mathieu Taillefer | Other | 136 | 0.4 |
| Other candidates | 405 | 1.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Soulanges QLP, competitive
- Vaudreuil QLP, safe seat
- Mirabel PQ, competitive
- Jacques-Cartier QLP, safe seat
- Nelligan QLP, safe seat
- Huntingdon QLP, toss-up
- Forecast updated