Papineau
Provincial riding · Quebec
October 5, 2026 result
Isabelle Millette (Parti Québécois) wins with 30.2% of the vote, 1.5 points ahead of Isabelle Sabourin (QLP).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Isabelle Millette | PQ | 11,179 | 30.2% |
| Isabelle Sabourin | QLP | 10,625 | 28.7% |
| Michel Kadri | PCQ | 8,143 | 22.0% |
| Linda Gauthier | CAQ | 4,165 | 11.2% |
| Benoit Renaud | QS | 2,625 | 7.1% |
| Julie Gomez | Other | 316 | 0.8% |
Our forecast before the vote
We had the PQ favoured at 46% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the call held.
| Party | Forecast | Result | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| PQ | 24.8% | 30.2% | +5.4 |
| QLP | 21.8% | 28.7% | +6.9 |
| PCQ | 22.8% | 22.0% | −0.8 |
| CAQ | 18.1% | 11.2% | −6.9 |
| QS | 11.3% | 7.1% | −4.3 |
| Other | 1.3% | 0.8% | −0.4 |
Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.
Advance voting · September 27 and 28
About 36% of votes were cast in advance
- Registered electors who voted
- 21.5% Rank 86 of 127
- Quebec average
- 23.6%
- Estimated share of votes already cast
- ≈ 36% Quebec: about 36%
- Compared with 2022
- +15% 2022: 18.6% · Quebec: +12%
Compared with 2022, advance voting rose here about as much as across Quebec.
Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (59.4%). See all 127 ridings
Compared with the average
| PQ | PCQ | QLP | CAQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Papineau | 24.8% | 22.8% | 21.8% | 18.1% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 28.7%−4.0 | 20.2%+2.6 | 24.8%−3.0 | 13.9%+4.2 |
Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election (2022)
The CAQ won by 39.1 points, with 59.4% turnout.
Our current projection: the PQ ahead by 4.3 points.
Candidates and votes in 2022
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mathieu Lacombe Elected | CAQ | 19,791 | 52.8 |
| Marie-Claude Latourelle | QS | 5,164 | 13.8 |
| Marc Carrière | PCQ | 4,970 | 13.3 |
| Audrey-Ann Chicoine | PQ | 3,834 | 10.2 |
| Wittlyn Kate Semervil | QLP | 3,151 | 8.4 |
| Melissa Arbour | Other | 450 | 1.2 |
| Cédric Brazeau | Other | 104 | 0.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Chapleau QLP, toss-up
- Hull QLP, safe seat
- Argenteuil PQ, competitive
- Soulanges QLP, competitive
- Bellefeuille CAQ, toss-up
- Beauharnois PQ, competitive
- Forecast updated