Pontiac
Provincial riding · Quebec
October 5, 2026 result
André Fortin (Quebec Liberal Party) wins with 61.1% of the vote, 49.8 points ahead of Osmar Llanos Martinez (PCQ).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| André Fortin | QLP | 18,263 | 61.1% |
| Osmar Llanos Martinez | PCQ | 3,368 | 11.3% |
| Marcela Cazas | PQ | 3,271 | 10.9% |
| Bianca Baldo | QS | 2,937 | 9.8% |
| Mariana Mefleh | CAQ | 1,660 | 5.5% |
| William Twolan | Other | 402 | 1.3% |
Our forecast before the vote
We had the Quebec Liberals favoured at 100% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the call held.
| Party | Forecast | Result | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| QLP | 58.5% | 61.1% | +2.6 |
| PCQ | 16.9% | 11.3% | −5.6 |
| PQ | 8.3% | 10.9% | +2.6 |
| QS | 4.0% | 9.8% | +5.9 |
| CAQ | 7.5% | 5.5% | −2.0 |
| Other | 4.8% | 1.3% | −3.5 |
Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.
Advance voting · September 27 and 28
About 33% of votes were cast in advance
- Registered electors who voted
- 17.8% Rank 112 of 127
- Quebec average
- 23.6%
- Estimated share of votes already cast
- ≈ 33% Quebec: about 36%
- Compared with 2022
- +15% 2022: 15.5% · Quebec: +12%
Compared with 2022, advance voting rose here about as much as across Quebec.
Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (53.5%). See all 127 ridings
Compared with the average
| QLP | PCQ | PQ | CAQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontiac | 58.5% | 16.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 24.8%+33.7 | 20.2%−3.3 | 28.7%−20.4 | 13.9%−6.4 |
Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election (2022)
The Quebec Liberals won by 19.0 points, with 53.5% turnout.
Our current projection: the Quebec Liberals ahead by 41.4 points.
Candidates and votes in 2022
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| André Fortin Elected | QLP | 12,477 | 43.7 |
| Corinne Canuel-Jolicoeur | CAQ | 7,056 | 24.7 |
| Terrence Watters | PCQ | 3,118 | 10.9 |
| Mike Owen Sebagenzi | QS | 2,935 | 10.3 |
| Jolaine Paradis-Châteauneuf | PQ | 1,887 | 6.6 |
| Pierre Cyr | Other | 616 | 2.2 |
| William Twolan | Other | 475 | 1.7 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue PQ, competitive
- Abitibi-Est PQ, toss-up
- Gatineau QLP, safe seat
- Hull QLP, safe seat
- Chapleau QLP, toss-up
- Labelle PQ, safe seat
- Forecast updated