Abitibi-Ouest
Provincial riding · Quebec
October 5, 2026 result
Sébastien D'Astous (Parti Québécois) wins with 49.6% of the vote, 31.5 points ahead of Daniel Guillemette (PCQ).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sébastien D'Astous | PQ | 11,080 | 49.6% |
| Daniel Guillemette | PCQ | 4,045 | 18.1% |
| Suzanne Blais | CAQ | 3,433 | 15.4% |
| Joanie Bolduc | QS | 1,959 | 8.8% |
| Marc-André Fortin | QLP | 1,827 | 8.2% |
Our forecast before the vote
We had the PQ favoured at 100% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the call held.
| Party | Forecast | Result | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| PQ | 45.5% | 49.6% | +4.1 |
| PCQ | 17.5% | 18.1% | +0.6 |
| CAQ | 11.3% | 15.4% | +4.1 |
| QS | 10.8% | 8.8% | −2.1 |
| QLP | 14.4% | 8.2% | −6.2 |
Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.
Advance voting · September 27 and 28
About 30% of votes were cast in advance
- Registered electors who voted
- 18.9% Rank 106 of 127
- Quebec average
- 23.6%
- Estimated share of votes already cast
- ≈ 30% Quebec: about 36%
- Compared with 2022
- +18% 2022: 16.0% · Quebec: +12%
Compared with 2022, advance voting rose here more than across Quebec (increase ranked 29 of 108 comparable ridings). In past elections, a stronger-than-expected rise mostly signalled higher overall turnout, not a winner.
Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (63.7%). See all 127 ridings
Compared with the average
| PQ | PCQ | QLP | CAQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abitibi-Ouest | 45.5% | 17.5% | 14.4% | 11.3% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 28.7%+16.8 | 20.2%−2.7 | 24.8%−10.4 | 13.9%−2.6 |
Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election (2022)
The CAQ won by 26.0 points, with 63.7% turnout.
Our current projection: the PQ ahead by 26.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2022
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Suzanne Blais Elected | CAQ | 10,399 | 46.8 |
| Samuel Doré | PQ | 4,619 | 20.8 |
| Alexis Lapierre | QS | 3,623 | 16.3 |
| François Vigneault | PCQ | 2,293 | 10.3 |
| Guy Bourgeois | QLP | 1,153 | 5.2 |
| Jonathan Blanchette | Other | 159 | 0.7 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Abitibi-Est PQ, toss-up
- Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue PQ, competitive
- Pontiac QLP, safe seat
- Gatineau QLP, safe seat
- Labelle PQ, safe seat
- Hull QLP, safe seat
- Forecast updated