Richmond
Provincial riding · Quebec
October 5, 2026 result
Bernard Sévigny (Parti Québécois) wins with 29.2% of the vote, 6.3 points ahead of Dominic Bouffard (PCQ).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bernard Sévigny | PQ | 12,701 | 29.2% |
| Dominic Bouffard | PCQ | 9,964 | 22.9% |
| Hugo Fontaine | QLP | 9,907 | 22.8% |
| Guillaume Rousseau | CAQ | 5,773 | 13.3% |
| David Poulin-Latulippe | QS | 4,600 | 10.6% |
| Pierre-Olivier Lassonde | Other | 246 | 0.6% |
| Christophe Duret | Other | 197 | 0.5% |
| Alexane Roy | Other | 124 | 0.3% |
Our forecast before the vote
We had the PQ favoured at 84% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the call held.
On the eve of the vote, the Polymarket market had Bernard Sévigny (PQ) winning at 65%: it got it right. Polymarket
| Party | Forecast | Result | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| PQ | 32.1% | 29.2% | −2.9 |
| PCQ | 24.2% | 22.9% | −1.3 |
| QLP | 15.8% | 22.8% | +7.0 |
| CAQ | 15.8% | 13.3% | −2.6 |
| QS | 11.6% | 10.6% | −1.0 |
| Other | 0.5% | 1.3% | +0.8 |
Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.
Advance voting · September 27 and 28
About 41% of votes were cast in advance
- Registered electors who voted
- 29.4% Rank 13 of 127
- Quebec average
- 23.6%
- Estimated share of votes already cast
- ≈ 41% Quebec: about 36%
Richmond's boundaries changed too much since 2022 to compare rates.
Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (71.8%). See all 127 ridings
Compared with the average
| PQ | PCQ | CAQ | QLP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond | 32.1% | 24.2% | 15.8% | 15.8% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 28.7%+3.4 | 20.2%+4.0 | 13.9%+1.9 | 24.8%−9.0 |
Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election (2022)
The CAQ won by 26.2 points, with 71.9% turnout.
Our current projection: the PQ ahead by 8.4 points.
Candidates and votes in 2022
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| André Bachand Elected | CAQ | 21,255 | 46.6 |
| Philippe Pagé | QS | 9,031 | 19.8 |
| Marylaine Bélair | PCQ | 6,683 | 14.6 |
| Jacinthe Caron | PQ | 5,803 | 12.7 |
| Mona Louis-Jean | QLP | 2,476 | 5.4 |
| Richard Magnan | Other | 112 | 0.2 |
| Raymond de Martin | Other | 105 | 0.2 |
| Other candidates | 186 | 0.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Sherbrooke PQ, toss-up
- Orford QLP, competitive
- Drummond–Bois-Francs PQ, toss-up
- Saint-François PQ, toss-up
- Daniel-Johnson PCQ, toss-up
- Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie PCQ, toss-up
- Forecast updated