Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie
Provincial riding · Quebec
October 5, 2026 result
Natalie Bisaillon (Parti Québécois) wins with 36.1% of the vote, 8.8 points ahead of Laura Tremblay (PCQ).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Bisaillon | PQ | 11,322 | 36.1% |
| Laura Tremblay | PCQ | 8,553 | 27.3% |
| Alexandra Houle | QLP | 4,612 | 14.7% |
| Patrick Saindon | CAQ | 4,295 | 13.7% |
| Sébastien Bage | QS | 2,160 | 6.9% |
| Mathieu Fillion | Other | 153 | 0.5% |
| Sylvain Marcoux | Other | 117 | 0.4% |
| Mario Roy | Other | 115 | 0.4% |
Our forecast before the vote
We had the Quebec Conservatives favoured at 66% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the PQ won instead.
| Party | Forecast | Result | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| PQ | 24.4% | 36.1% | +11.8 |
| PCQ | 30.7% | 27.3% | −3.4 |
| QLP | 11.6% | 14.7% | +3.2 |
| CAQ | 25.1% | 13.7% | −11.4 |
| QS | 7.8% | 6.9% | −0.9 |
| Other | 0.4% | 1.2% | +0.8 |
Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.
Advance voting · September 27 and 28
About 32% of votes were cast in advance
- Registered electors who voted
- 22.2% Rank 76 of 127
- Quebec average
- 23.6%
- Estimated share of votes already cast
- ≈ 32% Quebec: about 36%
Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie's boundaries changed too much since 2022 to compare rates.
Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (68.8%). See all 127 ridings
Compared with the average
| PCQ | CAQ | PQ | QLP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie | 30.7% | 25.1% | 24.4% | 11.6% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 20.2%+10.5 | 13.9%+11.2 | 28.7%−4.4 | 24.8%−13.2 |
Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election (2022)
The CAQ won by 34.5 points, with 68.8% turnout.
Our current projection: the Quebec Conservatives ahead by 5.9 points.
Candidates and votes in 2022
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| André Lamontagne Elected | CAQ | 21,944 | 52.5 |
| Luce Daneau | PCQ | 6,323 | 15.1 |
| Jérémie Poirier | PQ | 6,024 | 14.4 |
| Nancy Mongeau | QS | 5,769 | 13.8 |
| Mounirou Younoussa | QLP | 1,469 | 3.5 |
| Cindy Courtemanche | Other | 271 | 0.7 |
| Donald Martel Elected | CAQ | 13,956 | 47.1 |
| Mario Lyonnais | PCQ | 6,595 | 22.2 |
| Philippe Dumas | PQ | 5,095 | 17.2 |
| Jacques Thériault Watso | QS | 2,610 | 8.8 |
| Marie-Josée Jacques | QLP | 1,406 | 4.7 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Drummond–Bois-Francs PQ, toss-up
- Nicolet-Bécancour PQ, toss-up
- Daniel-Johnson PCQ, toss-up
- Saint-Hyacinthe PQ, competitive
- Trois-Rivières PQ, toss-up
- Richelieu PQ, safe seat
- Forecast updated