Daniel-Johnson
Provincial riding · Quebec
October 5, 2026 result
Nathalie Boisclair (Parti Québécois) wins with 34.7% of the vote, 9.8 points ahead of Marc Distexhe (PCQ).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nathalie Boisclair | PQ | 11,983 | 34.7% |
| Marc Distexhe | PCQ | 8,587 | 24.9% |
| Eric Sévigny | QLP | 5,785 | 16.8% |
| Christine Nadeau | CAQ | 5,172 | 15.0% |
| Tony Martel | QS | 3,002 | 8.7% |
Our forecast before the vote
We had the Quebec Conservatives favoured at 51% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the PQ won instead.
| Party | Forecast | Result | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| PQ | 22.8% | 34.7% | +12.0 |
| PCQ | 28.7% | 24.9% | −3.8 |
| QLP | 12.4% | 16.8% | +4.3 |
| CAQ | 27.4% | 15.0% | −12.5 |
| QS | 8.1% | 8.7% | +0.6 |
Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.
Advance voting · September 27 and 28
About 27% of votes were cast in advance
- Registered electors who voted
- 18.2% Rank 111 of 127
- Quebec average
- 23.6%
- Estimated share of votes already cast
- ≈ 27% Quebec: about 36%
Daniel-Johnson's boundaries changed too much since 2022 to compare rates.
Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (68.3%). See all 127 ridings
Compared with the average
| PCQ | CAQ | PQ | QLP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel-Johnson | 28.7% | 27.5% | 22.8% | 12.4% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 20.2%+8.5 | 13.9%+13.5 | 28.7%−6.0 | 24.8%−12.3 |
Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election (2022)
The CAQ won by 36.0 points, with 68.3% turnout.
Our current projection: the Quebec Conservatives ahead by 5.3 points.
Candidates and votes in 2022
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| André Lamontagne Elected | CAQ | 21,944 | 51.6 |
| Luce Daneau | PCQ | 6,323 | 14.9 |
| Jérémie Poirier | PQ | 6,024 | 14.2 |
| Nancy Mongeau | QS | 5,769 | 13.6 |
| Mounirou Younoussa | QLP | 1,469 | 3.5 |
| Cindy Courtemanche | Other | 271 | 0.6 |
| Other candidates | 702 | 1.7 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Granby CAQ, toss-up
- Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie PCQ, toss-up
- Saint-Hyacinthe PQ, competitive
- Brome-Missisquoi PQ, toss-up
- Iberville PQ, competitive
- Richmond PQ, competitive
- Forecast updated