Granby
Provincial riding · Quebec
October 5, 2026 result
Jean-François Arsenault (Parti Québécois) wins with 33.0% of the vote, 12.4 points ahead of Claudine Leroux (CAQ).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jean-François Arsenault | PQ | 13,157 | 33.0% |
| Claudine Leroux | CAQ | 8,213 | 20.6% |
| Claudie Bérubé | QLP | 7,508 | 18.8% |
| Marc-Antoine Huet-Mailly | PCQ | 6,974 | 17.5% |
| Méliane St-Amand | QS | 3,640 | 9.1% |
| Andrzej Wisniowski | Other | 331 | 0.8% |
| Jimmy Paquin | Other | 46 | 0.1% |
Our forecast before the vote
We had the CAQ favoured at 54% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the PQ won instead.
| Party | Forecast | Result | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| PQ | 25.5% | 33.0% | +7.5 |
| CAQ | 27.7% | 20.6% | −7.1 |
| QLP | 15.8% | 18.8% | +3.1 |
| PCQ | 21.6% | 17.5% | −4.1 |
| QS | 8.8% | 9.1% | +0.3 |
Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.
Advance voting · September 27 and 28
About 32% of votes were cast in advance
- Registered electors who voted
- 22.1% Rank 78 of 127
- Quebec average
- 23.6%
- Estimated share of votes already cast
- ≈ 32% Quebec: about 36%
Granby's boundaries changed too much since 2022 to compare rates.
Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (68.1%). See all 127 ridings
Compared with the average
| CAQ | PQ | PCQ | QLP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granby | 27.7% | 25.5% | 21.6% | 15.8% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 13.9%+13.8 | 28.7%−3.2 | 20.2%+1.4 | 24.8%−9.0 |
Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election (2022)
The CAQ won by 42.2 points, with 68.1% turnout.
Our current projection: the CAQ ahead by 5.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2022
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| François Bonnardel Elected | CAQ | 21,515 | 56.7 |
| Anne-Sophie Legault | QS | 5,282 | 13.9 |
| Guy Bouthillier | PQ | 4,378 | 11.5 |
| Stéphane Bernier | PCQ | 3,737 | 9.8 |
| Penny Lamarre | QLP | 1,758 | 4.6 |
| Andrzej Wisniowski | Other | 263 | 0.7 |
| Jimmy Paquin | Other | 38 | 0.1 |
| Other candidates | 981 | 2.6 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Brome-Missisquoi PQ, toss-up
- Daniel-Johnson PCQ, toss-up
- Saint-Hyacinthe PQ, competitive
- Iberville PQ, competitive
- Chambly PQ, competitive
- Borduas PQ, safe seat
- Forecast updated