Chambly
Provincial riding · Quebec
October 5, 2026 result
Julie Guyot (Parti Québécois) wins with 34.3% of the vote, 15.0 points ahead of Sarah Belbey (QLP).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Julie Guyot | PQ | 13,885 | 34.3% |
| Sarah Belbey | QLP | 7,793 | 19.2% |
| Jean-François Roberge | CAQ | 7,646 | 18.9% |
| Margarita Kantor | PCQ | 5,905 | 14.6% |
| Jessyca Sorel | QS | 4,510 | 11.1% |
| François Pellerin | Other | 376 | 0.9% |
| Caroline Boisvert | Other | 172 | 0.4% |
| Frédéric Ouellet | Other | 165 | 0.4% |
| Marc-André Legault | Other | 73 | 0.2% |
Our forecast before the vote
We had the PQ favoured at 91% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the call held.
| Party | Forecast | Result | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| PQ | 35.5% | 34.3% | −1.2 |
| QLP | 16.9% | 19.2% | +2.3 |
| CAQ | 18.5% | 18.9% | +0.4 |
| PCQ | 17.1% | 14.6% | −2.5 |
| QS | 11.4% | 11.1% | −0.3 |
| Other | 0.6% | 1.9% | +1.3 |
Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.
Advance voting · September 27 and 28
About 38% of votes were cast in advance
- Registered electors who voted
- 28.3% Rank 21 of 127
- Quebec average
- 23.6%
- Estimated share of votes already cast
- ≈ 38% Quebec: about 36%
- Compared with 2022
- +8% 2022: 26.3% · Quebec: +12%
Compared with 2022, advance voting rose here about as much as across Quebec.
Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (73.7%). See all 127 ridings
Compared with the average
| PQ | CAQ | PCQ | QLP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chambly | 35.5% | 18.5% | 17.1% | 17.0% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 28.7%+6.8 | 13.9%+4.5 | 20.2%−3.1 | 24.8%−7.8 |
Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election (2022)
The CAQ won by 30.6 points, with 73.7% turnout.
Our current projection: the PQ ahead by 12.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2022
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jean-François Roberge Elected | CAQ | 18,500 | 48.5 |
| Marie-Laurence Desgagné | PQ | 6,831 | 17.9 |
| Vincent Michaux-St-Louis | QS | 6,250 | 16.4 |
| Daniel Desnoyers | PCQ | 3,181 | 8.3 |
| Lina Yunes | QLP | 2,997 | 7.9 |
| Sanae Chahad | Other | 341 | 0.9 |
| Caroline Boisvert | Other | 70 | 0.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Saint-Jean PQ, safe seat
- Vachon QLP, toss-up
- Montarville PQ, competitive
- Iberville PQ, competitive
- La Pinière QLP, safe seat
- Verchères PQ, safe seat
- Forecast updated