Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Verchères

Provincial riding · Quebec

October 5, 2026 result

Guy Jr Lapointe (Parti Québécois) wins with 39.8% of the vote, 22.1 points ahead of Marie-Hélène Leboeuf (CAQ).

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Guy Jr Lapointe PQ 17,105 39.8%
Marie-Hélène Leboeuf CAQ 7,639 17.8%
Yacine Masrouki QLP 6,520 15.2%
Julien Malo PCQ 6,357 14.8%
Léonie Thibault Rousseau QS 4,971 11.6%
Germain Dallaire Other 339 0.8%

Preliminary results, 178 of 178 polls, retrieved October 6, 2026 · Turnout: 77.3% · Official source

Our forecast before the vote

We had the PQ favoured at 99% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the call held.

PartyForecastResultGap
PQ 42.7% 39.8% −2.9
CAQ 16.0% 17.8% +1.8
QLP 14.9% 15.2% +0.3
PCQ 15.1% 14.8% −0.3
QS 10.7% 11.6% +0.9

Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.

Advance voting · September 27 and 28

About 40% of votes were cast in advance

Registered electors who voted
30.5%
Rank 11 of 127
Quebec average
23.6%
Estimated share of votes already cast
≈ 40%
Quebec: about 36%
Compared with 2022
+18%
2022: 25.8% · Quebec: +12%

Compared with 2022, advance voting rose here more than across Quebec (increase ranked 26 of 108 comparable ridings). In past elections, a stronger-than-expected rise mostly signalled higher overall turnout, not a winner.

Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (75.3%). See all 127 ridings

Compared with the average

PQ CAQ PCQ QLP
Verchères 42.7%16.0%15.1%14.9%
Provincial averageQuebec 28.7%+14.0 13.9%+2.1 20.2%−5.1 24.8%−9.9

Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election (2022)

The CAQ won by 30.6 points, with 75.3% turnout.

Our current projection: the PQ ahead by 21.7 points.

Candidates and votes in 2022

Candidate Party Votes %
Suzanne Roy Elected CAQ 23,672 51.3
Cédric Gagnon-Ducharme PQ 9,561 20.7
Manon Harvey QS 6,665 14.4
Pascal Déry PCQ 3,269 7.1
Gabriel Lévesque QLP 2,438 5.3
Nadim Saikali Other 318 0.7
Germain Dallaire Other 97 0.2
Lucien Beauregard Other 86 0.2
Pauline Boisvert Other 55 0.1

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated