West Virginia
U.S. Senate · West Virginia
Election day November 3, 2026 · forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Republicans a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 38.5 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Republican | Democrat | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Virginia | 67.9% | 29.4% | 2.7% |
| National averageUnited States | 48.7%+19.2 | 47.3%−17.9 | 4.0%−1.3 |
Simple average of the 100 districts, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Current member
Shelley Moore Capito · Republican
Primary results
| Democratic primary | Rachel Fetty Anderson | Totals pending | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican primary | Shelley Moore Capito | Totals pending |
Republican 
Democrat Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated