Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Delaware

U.S. Senate · Delaware

Election day November 3, 2026 · forecast of October 15, 2026

Our forecast gives the Democrats a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 29.3 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Democrat 63.3%

    Chris Coons, incumbent

  • Republican 34.1%

    Michael Katz

  • Other 2.7%

Compared with the average

Democrat Republican Other
Delaware 63.3%34.1%2.7%
National averageUnited States 47.3%+16.0 48.7%−14.6 4.0%−1.3

Simple average of the 100 districts, not weighted by population.

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Current member

Chris Coons · Democrat

Primary results

Held September 15, 2026 · Official source

Democratic primary Chris Coons 78.0% 68,154 votes
Republican primary Michael Katz 77.3% 30,896 votes

Who's running

The candidates

Candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Democrat Incumbent

    Chris Coons

    source
  • Republican Challenger

    Michael Katz

    source

Other races in the region

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

  1. IowaDemocrat54%4.5-point gap
  2. TexasDemocrat58%4.5-point gap
  3. MaineDemocrat58%4.5-point gap
Forecast updated