New Jersey
U.S. Senate · New Jersey
Election day November 3, 2026 · forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Democrats a 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 24.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 2%.
Compared with the average
| Democrat | Republican | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Jersey | 61.0% | 37.1% | 1.9% |
| National averageUnited States | 47.3%+13.7 | 48.7%−11.6 | 4.0%−2.1 |
Simple average of the 100 districts, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Current member
Cory Booker · Democrat
Primary results
| Democratic primary | Cory Booker | 100.0% | 587,980 votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican primary | Justin Murphy | 33.4% | 82,272 votes |
Democrat 
Republican Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated