France · 2027 presidential poll

Odoxa — March 26, 2026

Fieldwork
March 25, 2026 → March 26, 2026
Sample
1,005 respondents
Published
March 26, 2026
Pollster release
Pollster release →

First round, voting intention

  • Jordan Bardella 34%
  • Édouard Philippe 21%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann 10%
  • Bruno Retailleau 8%
  • Marine Tondelier 5%
  • Sarah Knafo 5%
  • Fabien Roussel 2%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan 2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud 1%

Run-off match-ups tested

  • null 52% — 48% null

This poll tested 2 candidate line-ups

French pollsters test several hypothetical fields in the same survey. Each one is shown below — the pollster’s own release rarely puts them side by side.

Line-up 1 · with Retailleau

  • Jordan Bardella34%
  • Édouard Philippe21%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon12%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann10%
  • Bruno Retailleau8%
  • Marine Tondelier5%
  • Sarah Knafo5%
  • Fabien Roussel2%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 2 · without Retailleau

  • Jordan Bardella38%
  • Édouard Philippe25%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon13%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann10%
  • Sarah Knafo5%
  • Marine Tondelier4%
  • Fabien Roussel2%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%

A single poll is one measurement with its own margin of error. Our model weights every published poll, corrects for house effects and projects the range of plausible outcomes.

Our weighted average and projection → All 2027 presidential polls →

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